Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1e2330cb6482bd73fc595db0b11cc63351429ea65c84f6b7ea0cde1d0e64241
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,965
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60bd…9521backed Yes | 13c | 10,001$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…332cbacked Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccb…6178backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 17c | 2,380$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 13c | 1,184$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.93 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked Yes | 33c | 1,183$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.51 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -14.7wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 58c | 800.85$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.08 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…f9f7backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 26c | 576.05$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.06 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7dd…3696backed Yes | 14c | 463.74$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.47 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…053ebacked Yes | 12c | 386.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 58 | 25.9%15 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 13c | 383.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 23c | 350.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 16c | 225.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…8c24backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…0b39backed Yes | 25c | 86.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fd…b575backed Yes | 24c | 44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 154 | 61%94 W · 60 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 74c | 28.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 75c | 23.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?this page
- Will Leicester win on 2025-04-20?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.