Premier League · resolved market
Will Leicester win on 2025-04-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab7111971f6cd16c75482586db240655a072c518c1d88c831a8c80b1d66123bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31b2…3b0abacked Yes | 7c | 119,500$8,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,365 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 8c | 4,317$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.83 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 6c | 3,186$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 7c | 2,854$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.75 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,490$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 2,239$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037 | 700 | 72.3%506 W · 194 L | +83.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…5fcebacked Yes | 15c | 2,139$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.78 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,694$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.64 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked No | 39c | 1,500$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1b…7b78backed Yes | 7c | 1,373$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…56debacked Yes | 7c | 1,257$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 6c | 1,045$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…65cabacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb0…12d0backed Yes | 8c | 447.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 8c | 251.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 6c | 248$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes | 7c | 245$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 369 | 54.5%201 W · 168 L | +50.1wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 6c | 219.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…069dbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6449backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x684d…156ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…24a0backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Leicester win on 2025-04-20?this page
- Will Leicester vs. Liverpool end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool win on 2025-04-20?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.