MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9b80cd2c8562e80c0e46bec92b5d197db15aedb32d8896fede6ef71bdf0596a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nationalsof Nationals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $222,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce1f…41a9backed Nationals | 35c | 27,577$9,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,877.29 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 24,720$15,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,578.71 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Nationals | 36c | 20,974$7,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,423.3 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 17,459$11,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,217.11 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Nationals | 35c | 11,401$4,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,391.32 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 11,205$7,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,171.15 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Nationals | 34c | 10,190$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,725.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb160…a795backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5324…88f6backed Nationals | 34c | 9,999$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,599.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 49c | 6,202$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,165.94 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Diamondbacks | 68c | 5,939$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.52 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 5,874$3,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.95 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcd…165cbacked Nationals | 34c | 5,803$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,803.36 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 55cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 47c | 5,721$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,665.32 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Nationals | 47c | 5,259$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,810.58 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 4,721$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.17 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Diamondbacks | 26c | 4,467$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.19 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed Nationals | 36c | 3,600$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.68 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 3,280$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,928.65 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Nationals | 58c | 2,947$1,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.11 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,899$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.17 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Nationals | 35c | 2,860$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,871.95 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 2,767$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.61 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 2,593$1,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,731.1 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 2,432$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,592.56 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Nationals | 42c | 2,357$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,366.57 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 2,351$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.9 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 2,097$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.09 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,993$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,315.37 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Diamondbacks | 52c | 1,983$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 1,895$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.69 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 1,685$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$804.65 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,593$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.11 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nationals | 79c | 1,587$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.05 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 1,505$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.35 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Nationals | 35c | 1,475$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.62 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Nationals | 35c | 1,407$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.04 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Nationals | 33c | 1,317$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.06 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Nationals | 71c | 1,281$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.77 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nationals | 34c | 1,233$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.57 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Nationals | 63c | 1,153$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Nationals | 60c | 1,135$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 36c | 1,119$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.92 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Nationals | 67c | 1,061$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.06 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nationals | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Nationals | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nationals | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Nationals | 34c | 900$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Nationals | 36c | 859.91$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.46 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 822.2$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.43 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 35c | 785.71$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.71 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Nationals | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.29 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Nationals | 34c | 715.73$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.93 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Nationals | 25c | 692.03$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.71 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 638.33$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.58 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nationals | 16c | 618.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.18 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nationals | 34c | 616.8$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.83 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Nationals | 65c | 616.15$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 596.15$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.54 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks | 73c | 500$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.86 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Diamondbacks | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 499.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Nationals | 32c | 494$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.92 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 38c | 457.85$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.85 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Diamondbacks | 44c | 449.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Nationals | 36c | 420.47$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.47 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Nationals | 78c | 409.49$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05be…d651backed Nationals | 36c | 370.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.26 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…522fbacked Nationals | 55c | 348.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Diamondbacks | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Diamondbacks | 73c | 300$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Nationals | 34c | 296.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.41 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 291$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.39 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nationals | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Diamondbacks | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c96…abc5backed Nationals | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Diamondbacks | 54c | 273.51$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.17 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 266.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 38c | 263.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.05 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals | 54c | 251.41$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 238$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.46 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b34…7484backed Nationals | 47c | 235.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.99 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Diamondbacks | 67c | 226$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Nationals | 36c | 221.82$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Nationals | 33c | 202.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Diamondbacks | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Diamondbacks | 66c | 181.82$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Nationals | 34c | 181.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.96 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 161.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Diamondbacks | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Diamondbacks | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Nationals | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Nationals | 38c | 135.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.27 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Nationals | 34c | 135.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.51 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Nationals | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.