Premier League · resolved market
Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a960b2df77046276bef5de13b207cdc82f6ed15ee18410cfa88a49717ff63d6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 10c | 14,626$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,176.28 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 5,100$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.5 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 56c | 4,460$2,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.23 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 11c | 4,458$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,961.32 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 7c | 2,893$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,690.6 | 356 | 52.8%188 W · 168 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 43c | 2,599$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.57 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3d…742fbacked Yes | 10c | 2,110$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fc…1f6abacked Yes | 61c | 678.66$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed Yes | 11c | 600$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 8c | 594.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.06 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Yes | 9c | 529.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.61 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Yes | 7c | 286$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.98 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.29 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…c1cebacked Yes | 77c | 208.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4aabbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.82 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.23per pick | 25cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…1427backed Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…ad95backed Yes | 48c | 131.25$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 127.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…ff23backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +221.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…9940backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 36cpaid | +387.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 29c | 122.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.6 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Yes | 62c | 120.37$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -44%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…3d88backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…ab01backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 44c | 53.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed No | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked No | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fed…3b22backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9f…3b4bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Yes | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Everton win on 2025-05-25?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Everton end in a draw?No won
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.