TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mariners vs. Angels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Angelsof Mariners, Angels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$110,691

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,579 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5303…d66ebacked Mariners27c30,048$8,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,244.2550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e1…77bfbacked Angels44c15,000$6,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,440.3915553.5%83 W · 72 L+11.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels70c11,391$7,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,417.152,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Angels74c8,275$6,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.6886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Mariners0c5,124$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513021.5%28 W · 102 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x245b…00c5backed Mariners55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,749.962245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels49c3,890$1,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,973.0169249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mariners55c3,664$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,008.7595850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mariners50c2,795$1,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.499,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners56c2,626$1,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,470.721,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mariners65c2,375$1,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.1468769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Mariners53c2,255$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.15425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mariners57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Angels46c1,830$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.9343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Angels52c1,635$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.2540547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Angels72c1,561$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.8797950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Angels43c1,114$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.2414747.6%70 W · 77 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.1188549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Angels48c1,048$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.177349.3%36 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Mariners50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0744…a6a8backed Mariners57c999.97$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners52c958.32$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.581,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mariners14c928.87$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.0441643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners56c895.26$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.221,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ff…84babacked Mariners35c864.91$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007951.9%41 W · 38 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+24.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners57c859$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6376456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mariners50c780.52$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.611,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mariners56c753.61$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.81,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Mariners37c685.76$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.69920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb46d…7093backed Mariners20c566.65$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9212335%43 W · 80 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11f1…34e9backed Angels33c555.94$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+8.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Angels45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5618247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4d…1b43backed Angels45c535$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.25875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Mariners8c533$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.672488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x44f8…cf9cbacked Mariners26c529.04$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.551010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x474b…a13cbacked Mariners34c515$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.753135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b88…d628backed Angels69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1553243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1752…7993backed Mariners58c499.78$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.8713262.9%83 W · 49 L+12.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+93.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Angels41c426.44$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.124751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Mariners23c400$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.31833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-22.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels45c350.65$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.862,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db2…46c8backed Mariners56c350$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Angels50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17518236.3%66 W · 116 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa84d…3a6cbacked Mariners53c349.96$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.482948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners57c340$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.81,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7287…9787backed Mariners53c327.78$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.21216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-71.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mariners17c301.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mariners55c300$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16513555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mariners56c295$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.268656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2339…e984backed Mariners54c285.26$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.041346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mariners30c280$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.844,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Mariners21c262.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.861,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Angels77c255$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4491749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Angels46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.392,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb584…4432backed Mariners37c205.19$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.96922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-69.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mariners39c201$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.681,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Angels47c199.47$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7219849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…ff2dbacked Mariners56c185$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Mariners28c167.73$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4845248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Angels49c153.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.0752542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Mariners53c137$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.984740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Mariners15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Angels46c114$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.563943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Mariners52c113$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3140352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb981…4252backed Angels42c112$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac7…22a6backed Mariners58c112$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Angels45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0201…3db0backed Mariners56c101.37$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.772065%13 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels43c100$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mariners44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Angels36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6450447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Mariners26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Mariners34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed Mariners53c99.99$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9920448%98 W · 106 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Mariners11c97.24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffe…1df7backed Mariners56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503941%16 W · 23 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-28.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6350…2e3abacked Mariners56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xacbc…4b92backed Mariners56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504438.6%17 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Angels45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.852,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa322…d6e8backed Mariners58c86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbea5…d2febacked Angels42c86$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Mariners56c74.2$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.555358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…3bcabacked Angels79c67.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.844856.3%27 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa21…e746backed Angels42c63$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7397…6979backed Mariners58c63$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…5921backed Mariners57c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.25per pick54cpaid-55.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xbdd5…c914backed Mariners23c59.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ee…4c0bbacked Mariners56c59.75$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9edb…7959backed Mariners56c57.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.141752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf376…8501backed Angels45c55.96$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.781650%8 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Angels45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5694455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mariners59c54.24$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3274356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x944a…a9adbacked Angels47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.193630.6%11 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Mariners55c53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1560451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c4…934fbacked Mariners37c52.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.411656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Mariners29c51.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1524040.8%98 W · 142 L-13.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels41c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.491,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e42…9003backed Mariners56c49$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4443250.7%219 W · 213 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.