NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Wizards
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x249db1a030fa035eed7780911fc25e5e2e5860d5b8eafbb1fca7e6139315d6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Wizards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $336,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $349,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $336,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 42,000$28,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,760 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 29,810$20,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,691.51 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Wizards | 25c | 22,411$5,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,525.38 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Wizards | 33c | 20,238$6,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,636.57 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 18,336$11,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,655.7 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Wizards | 33c | 14,458$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.14 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wizards | 22c | 10,300$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310.46 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Wizards | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Wizards | 32c | 9,165$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.8 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards | 32c | 8,086$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.61 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 7,598$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.11 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Wizards | 37c | 6,504$2,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.13 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 6,036$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016.9 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Wizards | 33c | 5,900$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,946.84 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Wizards | 33c | 5,769$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Wizards | 32c | 5,032$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.81 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6178…f9a9backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 4,287$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.44 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 67c | 4,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 3,500$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 3,259$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.88 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73cb…b0d0backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 2,937$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.82 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 30c | 2,032$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.46 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Wizards | 20c | 2,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Wizards | 40c | 1,938$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.59 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Wizards | 33c | 1,882$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.06 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 78c | 1,794$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.54 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Wizards | 33c | 1,515$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Wizards | 43c | 1,508$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.23 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Wizards | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards | 20c | 1,451$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.42 | 192 | 31.3%60 W · 132 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…50b7backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,446$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.23 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…d206backed Wizards | 32c | 1,400$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…22e9backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 1,380$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 1,330$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.65 | 165 | 63.6%105 W · 60 L | +12.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Wizards | 33c | 1,250$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.18 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0779…7570backed Wizards | 29c | 1,247$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Wizards | 37c | 1,040$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.49 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Trail Blazers | 65c | 1,024$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.46 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 999.98$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 999.89$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.96 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Wizards | 32c | 959.78$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.11 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Wizards | 37c | 923.12$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.46 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 851.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.17 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 763.95$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.46 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 757.97$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.55 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 31c | 749.99$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 742.59$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.59 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71b0…c617backed Wizards | 32c | 724.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…f864backed Trail Blazers | 69c | 724.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Trail Blazers | 71c | 711.27$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.27 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 34c | 704.96$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.16 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Wizards | 31c | 703$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.9 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 676.47$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.47 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Trail Blazers | 70c | 571.43$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.43 | 127 | 59.8%76 W · 51 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1029…56c1backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Wizards | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Wizards | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…d9d9backed Wizards | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…52cebacked Wizards | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac1…e25ebacked Wizards | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa586…98b7backed Trail Blazers | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36d…2627backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb15d…0b88backed Wizards | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…d1eebacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…93f4backed Wizards | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfb…ec31backed Wizards | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacef…4a51backed Wizards | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e8…20fcbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b60…6833backed Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcad5…a4efbacked Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52aa…4c5cbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…48c2backed Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…683cbacked Wizards | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…6c4abacked Wizards | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f73…f06abacked Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072d…c04dbacked Wizards | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x334c…3c80backed Trail Blazers | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…78b8backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…8bb1backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c986backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 500$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +6.8wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…e51bbacked Trail Blazers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9abe…8956backed Trail Blazers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…9834backed Trail Blazers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…b4edbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb395…46dcbacked Trail Blazers | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Trail Blazers | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a6…2f21backed Wizards | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…d7b6backed Wizards | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…a2b7backed Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea6…c551backed Wizards | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefe6…1b52backed Wizards | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab39…ccc4backed Wizards | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x593f…926abacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…732fbacked Wizards | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb08a…e5e8backed Wizards | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.