TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Mets vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Mets, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,355
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$160,135

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,355 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets68c18,623$12,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,904.1136047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe768…9d43backed Rockies30c16,716$5,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,010.7419650.5%99 W · 97 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies30c11,635$3,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,459.0521740.1%87 W · 130 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3510…50bfbacked Mets74c9,999$7,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,599.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06bf…a9ddbacked Rockies26c9,993$2,598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.1820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies40c9,674$3,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,905.731,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies28c9,475$2,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.471,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mets65c8,894$5,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,110.561,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies27c5,727$1,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,546.31,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Mets73c4,950$3,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,336.4832852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Mets70c4,415$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.886751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies28c4,000$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.9998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Mets62c4,000$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.9469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed Rockies29c3,948$1,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.997450%37 W · 37 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies55c3,530$1,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,931.8697950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Rockies29c3,060$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.6111036.4%40 W · 70 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x871e…337fbacked Rockies54c3,039$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,627.531346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies41c2,980$1,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.212,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mets57c2,914$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,256.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0a…e004backed Mets72c2,778$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.781643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29d7…068bbacked Rockies28c2,700$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7561850%9 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e68…5472backed Rockies45c2,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002650%13 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mets73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54033349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rockies27c1,799$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.852,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a0…1b3dbacked Rockies53c1,605$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.72941.4%12 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf094…6fd5backed Mets72c1,503$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.613650%18 W · 18 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockies27c1,482$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.141,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x343c…741dbacked Mets72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3924744.7%21 W · 26 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Mets72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Rockies28c1,320$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.627953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x66cc…d87abacked Mets72c1,300$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3641275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44dd…7153backed Rockies45c1,232$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.624740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mets73c1,224$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.551,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…94f3backed Mets71c1,206$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.611586.7%13 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick71cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Mets46c1,152$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.9325835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Mets25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7502060%12 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Mets72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies28c999.99$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Mets72c970.67$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.6720150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67a5…9996backed Rockies3c901.39$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.33504%2 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid-86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Mets72c890.85$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.8523852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf065…1c51backed Mets72c839.65$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.16100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies40c816.19$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.5640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets72c800$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22492754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Mets44c789.19$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.1920523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Mets63c786.93$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.0513555.6%75 W · 60 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa365…d26ebacked Rockies43c757.81$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.8614052.9%74 W · 66 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Rockies41c719.84$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.61,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Mets71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2338245.5%174 W · 208 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Mets72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4488549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Rockies49c614.2$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9618349.2%90 W · 93 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mets52c600$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29142452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Mets69c600$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.422,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Mets59c533.05$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.553333.3%11 W · 22 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-40.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Mets64c524.39$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.7813946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21e…4d48backed Rockies9c497.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.772488.9%22 W · 226 L-17.8wins-0.07per pick16cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5a06…1e43backed Mets50c459.59$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.369920.2%20 W · 79 L-12.4wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-41.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Rockies28c454.33$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4885047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Mets75c405.33$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3374356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Rockies42c401.33$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.714,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2b…cb1cbacked Mets75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004269%29 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e28…9bc8backed Mets72c400$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mets73c399.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11051151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1fd…af0dbacked Mets57c350.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.884652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.222,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets72c347.22$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.222,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ab…cdcbbacked Mets75c333.33$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.3312862.5%80 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x58db…ea03backed Mets64c314.23$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.5412347.2%58 W · 65 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Rockies45c306.28$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.8316151.6%83 W · 78 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Rockies65c306$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockies49c298.9$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.7441643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Mets73c294.96$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.6468656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mets37c271.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6217136.8%63 W · 108 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fe0…6e30backed Mets42c270$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.87135.2%25 W · 46 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5505…3a83backed Rockies27c261.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010552.4%55 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Mets39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4153448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Mets65c255.14$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8134264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Mets62c252.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0417558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies40c242.37$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9852542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Mets72c238.05$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8211454.4%62 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Mets52c229.27$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f8…cf9cbacked Mets67c222.48$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.421010%1 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick27cpaid-85.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Mets72c208.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Rockies39c203.7$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5579740.4%322 W · 475 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mets47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10625416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Mets72c193.68$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6822958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Rockies29c189.66$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556142.6%26 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b8…d54cbacked Rockies30c180$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543928.2%11 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Rockies29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503661.1%22 W · 14 L+5.9wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+31.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rockies28c169.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.941,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Mets37c160.74$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.7413852.2%72 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Rockies28c159$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4940352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a27…fe44backed Mets41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.58842%37 W · 51 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Mets67c148.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.493666.7%24 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d13…082cbacked Mets71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc93b…ae97backed Mets72c138.75$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.854864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ab9…5f7abacked Mets73c137.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed Rockies36c128.22$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7520343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.