NBA · resolved market
Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedb16ad8313f5ea5033c0cd3d248f665fa0749bf3f433e80f384ba230c91cf2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,861
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 53c | 2,651$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.39 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked No | 45c | 2,522$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x831b…eed5backed No | 63c | 1,579$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.47 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…d159backed Yes | 53c | 1,200$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…ae33backed No | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…5c0cbacked Yes | 5c | 957.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.09 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 15c | 804$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.35 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 617 | 40.7%251 W · 366 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 23c | 713.5$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.75 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 54c | 557.39$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.17 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked No | 78c | 533.42$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 37c | 525$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked No | 43c | 500$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Yes | 7c | 424.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57b…40d2backed Yes | 20c | 371.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Yes | 51c | 360.2$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.7 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 45c | 360$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.4 | 245 | 49%120 W · 125 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 39c | 359.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.59 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616c…aab7backed Yes | 31c | 319.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked Yes | 47c | 304.82$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.57 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 40cpaid | -74%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Yes | 8c | 295.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 54c | 276.38$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41b…83a4backed Yes | 14c | 258.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed No | 63c | 256.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.61 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 52c | 202.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 152 | 19.1%29 W · 123 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 60c | 200.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 199.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 17c | 175$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 220 | 41.4%91 W · 129 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee7…37f0backed Yes | 15c | 165.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 69c | 160.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.51 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 15c | 148.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x411c…e9c0backed Yes | 31c | 145.92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 107 | 24.3%26 W · 81 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…904bbacked No | 78c | 126.14$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d01…592abacked Yes | 13c | 115.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7b76backed No | 73c | 113.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.01 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 52c | 105$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…06d9backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Yes | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84b…101fbacked No | 44c | 90.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 46c | 80.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 62c | 75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56b8…4cdbbacked Yes | 32c | 73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 132 | 40.2%53 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74cf…519bbacked No | 54c | 58.69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98c6…153ebacked No | 54c | 58.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3379…dcf6backed Yes | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b3bdbacked No | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 55c | 43.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 356 | 60.4%215 W · 141 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Yes | 56c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…b80abacked No | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2984…22f8backed Yes | 32c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…46b6backed No | 69c | 33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f9…10d4backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1636…e45fbacked No | 68c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…bd83backed No | 54c | 29.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd998…7506backed No | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb7…5b80backed No | 54c | 29.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…4846backed No | 69c | 21$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x795d…63e7backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Yes | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf14…1bfdbacked Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x863e…d409backed No | 55c | 18.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x275b…a000backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19f…33b9backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0a…2891backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1454…5e4cbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…6afcbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Dallas Mavericks make the NBA Playoffs?this page
- Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Brooklyn Nets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Houston Rockets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the LA Clippers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Memphis Grizzlies make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Minnesota Timberwolves make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs?Yes won
- Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Sacramento Kings make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs?No won
- Will the Utah Jazz make the NBA Playoffs?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.