TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will the Detroit Pistons make the NBA Playoffs?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,180
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,252

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,180 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd42f…047dbacked No0c55,000$60 inLost-$6022832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed No0c15,000$25 inLost-$251550%0 W · 155 L-0.3wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No0c12,700$13 inLost-$12.78350.6%42 W · 41 L+6.4wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a52…cecebacked No0c10,100$10 inLost-$10.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No0c5,050$24 inLost-$23.515219.1%29 W · 123 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-68.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No17c3,500$591 inLost-$590.9161740.7%251 W · 366 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No8c2,312$188 inLost-$188.261,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed Yes66c1,704$1,128 inWon+$575.9411753%62 W · 55 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4b5…d159backed Yes68c948$645 inWon+$303.361233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf123…686fbacked No35c600$210 inLost-$210.39714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-74%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x795d…63e7backed Yes66c186.12$123 inWon+$63.285139.2%20 W · 31 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes64c130.49$83 inWon+$47.2922041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d2…0c3fbacked No33c72.79$24 inLost-$24.022646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x045d…22c8backed Yes68c69.12$47 inWon+$22.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…83f5backed No34c43.68$15 inLost-$15.0224549%120 W · 125 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes70c40$28 inWon+$12.218536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf645…b8c2backed No30c40$12 inLost-$127929.1%23 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713f…71a3backed Yes68c35.29$24 inWon+$11.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f26…268cbacked Yes79c31.65$25 inWon+$6.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25ed…652cbacked Yes80c22.5$18 inWon+$4.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3975…626abacked Yes67c20.1$13 inWon+$6.63887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+50.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1f0c…0a02backed Yes79c18.99$15 inWon+$3.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-36.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.