Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston vs. Duke combine for 137+ points?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59bc7a29064dee0f3fab828d32e3faac11307ac1e60e02ea58c8798a2c307f95
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 50c | 339.07$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.54 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 50c | 290$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed No | 50c | 188$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 51c | 143.62$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.25 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 48c | 105.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.77 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf537…0965backed Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…28b0backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 65cpaid | +46%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c1…416abacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b8…e965backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…6901backed Yes | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 48c | 23.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x228e…5e28backed No | 51c | 22.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…9387backed No | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.