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NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Hawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$588,152
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$619,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $588,152 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 526 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…3e11backed Hawks4c92,341$3,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.822049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x945e…2acabacked Hawks55c30,315$16,815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,814.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-3.3wins-0.27per pick36cpaid-89.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x58a3…279fbacked Pistons76c19,363$14,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,610.337163.4%45 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+29.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Hawks37c17,805$6,521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,521.473,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Hawks36c11,944$4,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,265.5533931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons64c11,616$7,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,164.3412663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pistons66c10,841$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,665.8647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Pistons58c9,982$5,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,210.7734532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Hawks43c7,853$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.0612540%50 W · 75 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Pistons54c7,788$4,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,544.89572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dda…4cf6backed Pistons79c6,533$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.563666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks32c6,524$2,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,105.781,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pistons58c6,400$3,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.1417546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Hawks42c6,040$2,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,557.625833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hawks43c4,791$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.0628347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Pistons63c4,761$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,761.46841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Pistons58c3,622$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,530.3577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked Hawks28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010541%43 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks41c3,288$1,334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,333.815,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons56c3,096$1,732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.1496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Hawks44c2,727$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pistons64c2,651$1,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.8870147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Pistons58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0506250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Pistons59c2,147$1,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.3661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hawks1c2,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Hawks38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8801,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Pistons57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Hawks28c1,885$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.7670640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Pistons57c1,695$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3110533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pistons72c1,376$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.3929652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks1c1,351$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.465502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78a5…50b7backed Pistons75c1,267$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.963043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hawks26c1,201$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.2619350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Hawks17c1,174$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.0853134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Hawks45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9518345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff27…1a68backed Hawks1c1,074$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hawks44c1,016$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.041,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Hawks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Pistons57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4301,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Pistons58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4201,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons57c973.68$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.6814563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Hawks4c931$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.781,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x008e…4fb7backed Pistons66c911$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.33540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Hawks42c891.97$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9236751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Hawks44c850$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37418354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Hawks44c795.45$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Pistons71c794.91$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.3839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2331…408cbacked Hawks10c780.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.789736.1%35 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pistons72c716.15$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.5220447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks43c705$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.7185542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3315…937dbacked Pistons57c701.75$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.756100%6 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+133.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1dd4…c31cbacked Pistons57c699.16$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.641060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+31.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9c3…daecbacked Hawks44c695.45$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-57.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Pistons72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4416838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Hawks41c693.69$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Hawks24c689.34$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.1419231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hawks41c684.74$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.5973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Pistons55c664.48$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3245647.8%218 W · 238 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Pistons66c631.88$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8826934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7ee…3e36backed Hawks44c561.36$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf684…23adbacked Pistons57c561.04$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.25862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.3245135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb85d…328dbacked Pistons57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.325100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2226…7aabbacked Pistons57c526.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.28728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f1…5d15backed Hawks44c526.09$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.48955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40e…20e2backed Hawks44c525.52$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Pistons59c507.41$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0428949.1%142 W · 147 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d6…9487backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252025%5 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d6…6de3backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1029…56c1backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252227.3%6 W · 16 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x73f7…cc19backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-37.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd3ee…c58fbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5810…fa44backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252532%8 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde8c…af97backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf42f…420fbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08a…29e0backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf44c…57dfbacked Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…d9d9backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc455…d59cbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252544%11 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c6b…1318backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf4e…09b7backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+28.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8824…7fa6backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…5765backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252552%13 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c6…9ea1backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x90cd…e97bbacked Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252250%11 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78d1…52cebacked Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…94cbbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…d8b3backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e6…aedbbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252540%10 W · 15 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc35…25fcbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a60…2f6dbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…abd6backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac1…e25ebacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe314…89d3backed Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa586…98b7backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36d…2627backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5cbd…245cbacked Hawks45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2252128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-38%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb15d…0b88backed Pistons55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2252352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.