Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-02-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6323da7db6e5a57d71a03e2af972931db3e4f341261b331663896f397dfa0f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 26c | 888.46$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 19c | 725$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Yes | 25c | 318.34$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.76 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 45c | 218.08$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 330 | 55.2%182 W · 148 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 121 | 66.9%81 W · 40 L | +17.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 29c | 47.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…8625backed No | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked No | 78c | 13.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Union St. Gilloise win on 2025-02-20?this page
- Will Ajax vs. Union St. Gilloise end in a draw?No won
- Will Ajax win on 2025-02-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.