Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d388ed66d39a2a94d34608733ecc86da7de942aa9b18ee1cfb2bce523dfeb1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,586
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,176
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,586 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,976$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 61c | 3,130$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,221.23 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 33c | 3,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 39c | 2,132$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.75 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Yes | 54c | 1,852$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 36c | 1,394$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.96 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 64c | 1,093$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.19 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 54c | 1,010$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.1 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2b…f448backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 58c | 714.85$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.28 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 10c | 711.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.06 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 9c | 600$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed No | 44c | 492$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 33c | 485.01$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.15 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 56c | 480.1$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 60c | 420$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 38c | 257.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 45c | 202.93$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.32 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Yes | 59c | 192.41$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 53c | 182$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 79c | 169.9$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355a…98a6backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…bc65backed Yes | 72c | 142.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bb…fb35backed Yes | 53c | 130.91$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.43per pick | 40cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 53c | 104.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.06 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked No | 44c | 102.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 55c | 100.1$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 61c | 98.36$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 71c | 97.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 45c | 94.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 46c | 83.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ca…dda1backed Yes | 53c | 69$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 29c | 54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c84…4e36backed Yes | 64c | 48.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Yes | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…00a7backed No | 40c | 42.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4578…7ffdbacked No | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…9207backed No | 48c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddcc…d167backed Yes | 63c | 32.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…1661backed No | 41c | 29.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…f038backed Yes | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…5d77backed Yes | 63c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Alabama win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Arizona win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Baylor win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Oregon win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Robert Morris win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Mary's win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will VCU win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wisconsin win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.