Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Alabama win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ceace11ad45234ef67485f84cd2e98cf850628935a78fdd98f2963c6795373d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked No | 74c | 3,695$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.7 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Yes | 27c | 3,001$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.39 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Yes | 2c | 2,200$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 20c | 1,100$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.3wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 23c | 349.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 19c | 281.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.63 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed Yes | 17c | 247.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 27c | 196.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.18 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 19c | 188.9$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 18c | 131.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 10c | 118$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 30cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…a550backed Yes | 21c | 99.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 19c | 73.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 17c | 61.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alabama win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?this page
- Will Arizona win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will BYU win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Baylor win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Duke win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?Yes won
- Will Oregon win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Robert Morris win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Saint Mary's win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will VCU win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
- Will Wisconsin win the East region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.