Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f506cb866eb8aff3dc015328e86b3d30f98e6752a1685a16eea57f3aead6158
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,747
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,747 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63bf…e319backed No | 51c | 2,865$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes | 49c | 2,505$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 50c | 2,182$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.02 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 74c | 2,056$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.56 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 28c | 1,755$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.4 | 136 | 9.6%13 W · 123 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 53c | 1,531$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.97 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 53c | 1,447$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 29c | 1,314$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.09 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 8c | 1,215$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.25 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.97 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 42c | 1,197$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.68 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed Yes | 75c | 1,081$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.61 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2b8…5ce5backed Yes | 60c | 1,080$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.93 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 48c | 1,024$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.02 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed No | 52c | 1,014$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 55c | 1,006$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.41 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 35c | 989.06$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.24 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 50c | 750$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8583…a5dbbacked No | 41c | 393.16$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.84 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c54…cc1ebacked Yes | 54c | 354$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.76 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 313$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 290 | 12.1%35 W · 255 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…d8e6backed Yes | 49c | 306.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked No | 45c | 292.32$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 50c | 275.27$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.36 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed No | 38c | 243$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes | 50c | 223.44$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 51c | 213.99$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…2c7cbacked Yes | 57c | 196.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 64c | 162.74$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3b…c3e2backed Yes | 57c | 150$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 55c | 148.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 16c | 123.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8214…ef72backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…6c24backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 104 | 29.8%31 W · 73 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked No | 63c | 91.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…0848backed Yes | 56c | 90.89$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fa…c031backed Yes | 54c | 86.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…1ebdbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 36c | 61.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb18…6ed0backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 35c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 56c | 57.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.42 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…5a86backed No | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f9…550fbacked No | 48c | 46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…0a51backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…297bbacked No | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 50c | 37.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 60c | 33.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…b571backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…f663backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Florida make the 2025 Final Four?this page
- Will Alabama make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Auburn make the 2025 Final Four?Yes won
- Will Clemson make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Duke make the 2025 Final Four?Yes won
- Will Houston make the 2025 Final Four?Yes won
- Will Iowa State make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Kentucky make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Louisville make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Maryland make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Michigan State make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will St. John's make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Tennessee make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Texas A&M make the 2025 Final Four?No won
- Will Texas Tech make the 2025 Final Four?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.