TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Diamondbacksof Rockies, Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,323
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$47,134

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,323 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ce8…4527backed Rockies34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9944456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Diamondbacks66c6,160$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.416352.1%85 W · 78 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Rockies31c4,132$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,280.982050%10 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d57…d7ffbacked Diamondbacks69c3,213$2,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.035850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Rockies16c3,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.9821246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks66c2,552$1,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$867.522,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies33c2,463$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.331,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Diamondbacks79c1,969$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.69,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Rockies1c1,933$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Diamondbacks69c1,739$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.3913553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Diamondbacks67c1,533$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies28c1,344$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.322,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Diamondbacks67c1,256$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.235,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks77c1,230$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.918837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3217…7d40backed Rockies31c1,197$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.281136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks72c1,158$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.2138444%169 W · 215 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Diamondbacks67c999.97$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.9971751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Rockies31c960.99$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.9124547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies31c950.49$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.6550843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Rockies1c904$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Diamondbacks65c835.14$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.353150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Rockies19c819.94$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5927213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Rockies27c750.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Rockies33c749.66$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7343654.8%239 W · 197 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Rockies3c708.64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Diamondbacks68c694$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.1134051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies3c653.11$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.515053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies31c631.98$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9144443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Rockies2c550$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105852.1%12 W · 573 L-1.7wins0.00per pick2cpaid-45.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Rockies2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Rockies32c490.96$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.113,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Rockies33c443.73$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4370946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…a6dbbacked Diamondbacks67c399.25$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.755642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Rockies12c385.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4973149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Diamondbacks67c385$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.171,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Diamondbacks77c375.13$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2341747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Diamondbacks77c318.73$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.1754345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies33c318.67$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1643247.2%204 W · 228 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies32c313$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1640548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Diamondbacks66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0311463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Diamondbacks66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10230850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Diamondbacks68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1256351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Diamondbacks68c293.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.872,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Diamondbacks69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.862,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Diamondbacks73c288.85$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.8539160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies4c275$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.251,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked Diamondbacks68c271.94$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.0216552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Diamondbacks69c271.01$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.0199951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Diamondbacks69c224.64$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.648360.2%50 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Diamondbacks70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.132,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Rockies27c196$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9243946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Rockies30c195.07$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.5251347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks66c177.86$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.4721656%121 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies18c171.13$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4545749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3b…1d77backed Diamondbacks66c158$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.723253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x107a…4bc4backed Rockies10c152.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152853.6%15 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+29.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Diamondbacks66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a6…f48bbacked Rockies34c148.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509445.7%43 W · 51 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1886…6cc5backed Diamondbacks69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.933748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40f0…a193backed Diamondbacks69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.934055%22 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Diamondbacks69c144$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.641,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Diamondbacks70c142.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9314753.7%79 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…5e30backed Diamondbacks69c137.83$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.731392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1212…a9f0backed Diamondbacks69c115.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks75c100.01$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6780680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d0…059abacked Diamondbacks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0704…6ab8backed Diamondbacks69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4559…ca89backed Rockies33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7523543.4%102 W · 133 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks69c72.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf472…7d49backed Diamondbacks68c60.74$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.443145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb579…f458backed Rockies33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035551.5%183 W · 172 L+24.5wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b46…7c2fbacked Rockies33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Rockies34c60$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.420851.9%108 W · 100 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Diamondbacks68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8236453%193 W · 171 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d89…40a4backed Diamondbacks68c57$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.2418052.8%95 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rockies32c52.97$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.951,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ec…7c9abacked Rockies32c50.22$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b5c…7f36backed Diamondbacks68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e6…4979backed Rockies33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.52445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef8d…17c9backed Diamondbacks69c49.84$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies31c45.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1480955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Diamondbacks70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Rockies32c40.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9131244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeacf…ed1dbacked Rockies30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210853.7%58 W · 50 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Diamondbacks76c39.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.453677.8%28 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c37…32a2backed Rockies32c34.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.191060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5228…a54abacked Rockies32c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4aa…5e57backed Rockies32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41e3…1962backed Rockies32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1057545.9%264 W · 311 L+0.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Diamondbacks74c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.825854.3%140 W · 118 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2399…2332backed Diamondbacks68c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.69950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ca…198bbacked Diamondbacks69c29.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.33568.6%24 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc027…cd1dbacked Diamondbacks68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.417564%48 W · 27 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfab9…0f32backed Diamondbacks68c29.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.41966.7%6 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe597…077cbacked Diamondbacks69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+62.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed Diamondbacks69c27.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.61,29956.7%737 W · 562 L-0.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9552…bee6backed Diamondbacks68c23$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.731,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.