NHL · resolved market
Penguins vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda54c9e58a57ee40e5c0a6f4886e9d5d8f0d1db2a08975ec08f3b28ec2ee9d83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Penguins, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $241,187
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Kings | 1c | 80,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Kings | 7c | 20,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc71…39dabacked Kings | 7c | 17,682$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Penguins | 75c | 5,013$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.97 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 24c | 4,978$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kings | 16c | 4,867$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.88 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c9…e725backed Kings | 5c | 3,093$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.64 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Penguins | 38c | 2,360$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.03 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kings | 4c | 2,300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 21c | 1,996$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.64 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Penguins | 75c | 1,701$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.59 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Kings | 15c | 1,687$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.08 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 60c | 1,500$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1396…b149backed Penguins | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 65c | 1,000$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.48 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Kings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…c572backed Kings | 63c | 999.77$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penguins | 35c | 883.69$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1a…2c0ebacked Penguins | 36c | 832.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 50c | 527.58$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Kings | 50c | 462.06$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.03 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Penguins | 36c | 412.09$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.67 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Kings | 20c | 400$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Kings | 64c | 391$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Penguins | 34c | 314$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.7 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Penguins | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Kings | 44c | 274.31$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8643…85b2backed Penguins | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Kings | 64c | 250.22$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…3917backed Kings | 64c | 234.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…52ddbacked Kings | 64c | 205.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…e16abacked Penguins | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Penguins | 78c | 191.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Kings | 62c | 182$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2a…9146backed Kings | 56c | 180$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f7…1b4cbacked Penguins | 36c | 165$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e72…04c7backed Kings | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67fe…9ad8backed Penguins | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c75…6e78backed Penguins | 36c | 146.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…c15fbacked Penguins | 37c | 144.03$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Penguins | 76c | 139.51$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05fc…24e8backed Penguins | 37c | 131.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3065…8880backed Penguins | 37c | 130.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb1…b150backed Penguins | 37c | 124.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…034bbacked Penguins | 36c | 120$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3cb…13a9backed Kings | 64c | 120$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 39c | 108.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Penguins | 36c | 108.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 42c | 104.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Penguins | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Penguins | 36c | 99.98$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…f3fbbacked Kings | 51c | 98.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings | 63c | 88.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…0348backed Kings | 64c | 84.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…fb21backed Kings | 64c | 82$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6047…74c0backed Kings | 64c | 79.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…5f7ebacked Kings | 64c | 78.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8538…956cbacked Penguins | 37c | 78.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…a255backed Kings | 64c | 77.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…40c1backed Kings | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…a11abacked Kings | 64c | 75.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Kings | 63c | 75.75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.72 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5b…4deebacked Kings | 64c | 75.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…8058backed Penguins | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26a9…b18cbacked Penguins | 37c | 71$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Penguins | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b2f…1c71backed Kings | 64c | 64.03$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kings | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0d…1598backed Kings | 64c | 55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Kings | 45c | 54.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…4065backed Kings | 64c | 54.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Penguins | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fd…d003backed Penguins | 37c | 47.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed Kings | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9358…3063backed Kings | 64c | 46.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc3…8067backed Penguins | 38c | 45.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Kings | 64c | 40.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…c30fbacked Penguins | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…6c70backed Penguins | 37c | 38.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01f…74abbacked Penguins | 37c | 38.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…aedcbacked Kings | 64c | 38.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0e…c4f7backed Penguins | 75c | 37.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc668…039bbacked Penguins | 36c | 36.17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb108…3fb7backed Kings | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed5…df42backed Kings | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa02a…3411backed Penguins | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…fe0ebacked Penguins | 36c | 35.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…57e9backed Kings | 64c | 35.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…3dcebacked Kings | 64c | 35.6$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…4805backed Penguins | 36c | 35.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…f054backed Penguins | 38c | 34.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9994…0769backed Kings | 62c | 34.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaab…c6d4backed Kings | 63c | 34.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…c448backed Kings | 64c | 33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…5d3cbacked Penguins | 36c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…6da6backed Penguins | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…7d36backed Kings | 64c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…cdbdbacked Kings | 64c | 31.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d88…256dbacked Kings | 62c | 31.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.