TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Brewers vs. Mets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Metsof Brewers, Mets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$136,995

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc605…d372backed Mets63c32,492$20,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,091.718641.9%36 W · 50 L-15.3wins-0.18per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Brewers40c14,034$5,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,613.4644456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mets58c9,144$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,850.41,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x704a…7c42backed Brewers42c8,479$3,561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,561.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Mets59c6,638$3,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,703.851,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets58c5,618$3,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.662,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Brewers37c5,560$2,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,077.8897950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Brewers22c4,558$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa488…fb11backed Brewers41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.962065%13 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Brewers33c3,627$1,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,209.422,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Brewers41c3,200$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31269249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Brewers42c3,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9931346.6%146 W · 167 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Brewers40c2,738$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.3514446.5%67 W · 77 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05049250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Brewers43c2,281$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.7128447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed Mets58c2,100$1,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88227953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Mets60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Brewers42c1,821$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.8261346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb4f…4cd8backed Brewers42c1,800$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Brewers22c1,796$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5212037.5%45 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Brewers40c1,525$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61038949.1%191 W · 198 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Brewers31c1,464$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Mets59c1,423$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.3395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8104…ce10backed Brewers22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brewers39c1,343$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.559,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Brewers42c1,316$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55839436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Mets59c1,191$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.181,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Brewers43c1,174$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Brewers37c1,142$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.61,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c6…e328backed Brewers42c1,129$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.18425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd6f…e0d4backed Mets58c1,103$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3d…41f3backed Mets58c1,097$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae75…dcb7backed Brewers42c1,071$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.82450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Brewers41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41032042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Brewers41c999.98$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Brewers13c982.95$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13027213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets58c970$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.41,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5700…c525backed Mets58c955$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.1728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets59c877$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.571,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3848…9967backed Brewers22c856.81$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.1230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6561…6f9dbacked Mets58c845$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Mets59c777.58$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.5825954.1%140 W · 119 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf7…b626backed Mets59c771$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.111952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfdaf…1aaebacked Brewers41c771$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1140%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Brewers15c738.65$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.386,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Mets73c716.6$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.485666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Mets68c600$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19240547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Mets59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.475358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brewers24c400$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5596133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Brewers10c378.51$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.761,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Brewers6c364$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.848762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80fc…c14fbacked Brewers33c360.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016241.4%67 W · 95 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Brewers42c357.14$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503943.6%17 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-16.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Brewers40c339.89$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.965,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Mets59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.9831356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Brewers30c336.55$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.9710527.6%29 W · 76 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Brewers26c321.43$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8517930.2%54 W · 125 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Mets58c316.31$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.8571751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Brewers43c302.33$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030842.9%132 W · 176 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers7c300$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Brewers42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1262,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Brewers42c288$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9613553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd73b…70adbacked Brewers42c284.23$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3714453.5%77 W · 67 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers40c280$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9324248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcd…6bddbacked Brewers18c278.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017558.9%103 W · 72 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Mets60c255.83$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.331,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Brewers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Brewers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers41c243.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Brewers42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Brewers42c221.37$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9234051.2%174 W · 166 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Brewers36c203.54$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.0724953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Brewers41c203$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8465549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers42c203$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.262,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Brewers42c200$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385a…08d1backed Brewers12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244626.1%12 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Brewers39c194.84$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.991,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Mets77c179.74$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5980680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Mets59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.493557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mets61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers26c158.55$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.354,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Brewers38c149.96$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed Brewers40c140$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5614949.7%74 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mets60c135$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0555…55bfbacked Brewers42c123.83$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.01540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5f2…35adbacked Brewers40c123.37$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Brewers30c118.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1370841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf14d…4c11backed Brewers42c116.45$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.913447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf002…047fbacked Mets62c115.87$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.0316851.8%87 W · 81 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc615…9f26backed Brewers26c110.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297025.7%18 W · 52 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222351.6%115 W · 108 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Mets52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4819849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc324…4cd6backed Mets59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Brewers43c96.2$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.311,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3133…5b73backed Mets59c93.34$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.273351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629b…6f9cbacked Brewers42c85.24$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.83164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Brewers38c77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2626847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae7f…59a7backed Mets59c76.31$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.293548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49f7…046bbacked Mets60c72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.823753.2%126 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.