NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52ded65fe5ec95889723167593359590cf7654b59af90400d6c744d9ce099a47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Blue Jacketsof Blue Jackets, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 10,204$5,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.46 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 3,893$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.28 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 2,500$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.72 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 42c | 2,395$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.1 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Blue Jackets | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.79 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,988$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blue Jackets | 76c | 1,808$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.3 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Blue Jackets | 57c | 1,206$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.66 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.83 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 2c | 810$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc93b…ae97backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blue Jackets | 32c | 680.7$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.88 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 652$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.32 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Blue Jackets | 46c | 520.03$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 514.22$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.24 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 504.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 499.88$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.92 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 450$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Maple Leafs | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7313…5f64backed Maple Leafs | 27c | 400$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 393.41$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.65 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfe…5247backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 304.62$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…59eabacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 300$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.17 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Blue Jackets | 58c | 217.23$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Maple Leafs | 62c | 217.22$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 210.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.98 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 202.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 197.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.24 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Blue Jackets | 59c | 170.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2235…d67fbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 150.31$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 150$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebbd…5dafbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 144.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccc9…7a15backed Maple Leafs | 30c | 138.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe295…f556backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 130.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…c70cbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 120.98$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…4eb3backed Blue Jackets | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570e…1399backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 108.57$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 106.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -6.6wins | -0.14per pick | 66cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 90$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc84a…9099backed Blue Jackets | 63c | 88.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 37 | 81.1%30 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…06b7backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 84.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb1…8e32backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 81.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f37…b248backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7806…a13ebacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 73.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…0fbebacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 72.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf6…a8edbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 72.56$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Blue Jackets | 34c | 71.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfac8…7a9ebacked Maple Leafs | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 70.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 69.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…2d68backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…ac20backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 68.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 63cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 65.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 61.76$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671b…e4bdbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 60.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe22e…039fbacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Maple Leafs | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…415fbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb7…b6b0backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 44.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…8300backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Blue Jackets | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Blue Jackets | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…3480backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 36.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…2630backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 36.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…2d97backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 34.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369b…e844backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 33.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…310bbacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 33.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…153bbacked Blue Jackets | 33c | 33.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77c…cb14backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…d938backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 32.45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…a0a3backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 32.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f16…b3fbbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 32.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ab…c1fabacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 32.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b98…074ebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 31.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…fd65backed Blue Jackets | 33c | 31.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5bf…3774backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 30.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…57fcbacked Blue Jackets | 35c | 30.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf428…7a5ebacked Maple Leafs | 68c | 30.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…5c92backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 30.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78eb…9454backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 29.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee82…08b2backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 28.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -59%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…ceeebacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 27.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d3…a4c4backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 25.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…0b54backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 25.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60c7…3dcebacked Maple Leafs | 67c | 25.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 24.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0d…2f31backed Maple Leafs | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…49bfbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 23.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.