Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton win on 2025-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd425a1d7ce767cbd7fbba2dfc68ae37c61c9273fc8ef4e1ce9521add0aab15c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 5,050$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 18c | 1,944$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 91 | 11%10 W · 81 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 19c | 1,242$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.96 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 56c | 535$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 49c | 514.34$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.84 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 39c | 503.94$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe742…7559backed No | 59c | 498.68$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.46 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698f…ae41backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 70c | 172$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 30c | 151.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.59 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.55 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed Yes | 38c | 117.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e2…0b39backed Yes | 10c | 114.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 42c | 107$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.94 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed No | 55c | 98.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…48f7backed No | 58c | 90.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf660…333fbacked Yes | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -75%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed Yes | 18c | 72.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…a92cbacked No | 59c | 69.1$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton win on 2025-04-26?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
- Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.