Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5bbd36918e0e50c1ecee590e00d5181ef0187058a55f2d58da7bd12743c265a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf99…0bd4backed No | 77c | 9,999$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce28…a046backed Yes | 23c | 9,993$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 65c | 5,356$3,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,481.74 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 22c | 3,910$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.2 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 40c | 3,626$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.62 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 27c | 1,702$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.24 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 19c | 1,256$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.86 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 68c | 996.88$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 32c | 990.63$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes | 72c | 908.5$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 53c | 901.69$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.79 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9b…0f44backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 25%16 W · 48 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4aa…9026backed Yes | 24c | 266.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 20cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 40c | 264.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 60c | 261.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 250.01$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 47c | 247.9$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.93 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 76c | 222.97$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4872…3730backed Yes | 73c | 217.51$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 65c | 212.5$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.88 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f95…9bd4backed Yes | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 70c | 199.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…b5cbbacked Yes | 73c | 193.24$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d9…ed60backed No | 76c | 149.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 76c | 131.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 76c | 125.58$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…10a0backed Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1f32backed Yes | 54c | 74.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 77c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked No | 77c | 45.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Yes | 55c | 35.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…a12ebacked Yes | 80c | 34.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x475d…eaaebacked Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ed…7aeabacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 80c | 15.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.18 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton vs. Fulham end in a draw?this page
- Will Fulham win on 2025-04-26?Yes won
- Will Southampton win on 2025-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.