College Football · resolved market
North Carolina vs. UCF
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a7b6e8e995810d4521a92ab5050c4fc5b0529fd3dc6b3515ca9e880816a1edf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UCFof North Carolina, UCF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83b9…6124backed North Carolina | 32c | 29,449$9,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,408.22 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked UCF | 69c | 14,271$9,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.54 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked UCF | 68c | 13,975$9,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,472 | 377 | 49.6%187 W · 190 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed UCF | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed UCF | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed North Carolina | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.98 | 243 | 48.1%117 W · 126 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UCF | 69c | 1,303$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked North Carolina | 31c | 1,273$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.53 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed North Carolina | 30c | 1,250$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UCF | 73c | 1,235$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.03 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed UCF | 70c | 1,165$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.07 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked North Carolina | 25c | 1,091$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.82 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked North Carolina | 2c | 982$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed North Carolina | 27c | 730$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.33 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked North Carolina | 32c | 675$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.75 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed UCF | 77c | 525$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.38 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked UCF | 70c | 483.54$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.87 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed North Carolina | 33c | 448.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed UCF | 73c | 388.53$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.21 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UCF | 69c | 369.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed North Carolina | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19a9…fce6backed North Carolina | 7c | 290.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed UCF | 74c | 278.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c12…042fbacked North Carolina | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -6.1wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UCF | 79c | 240$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed North Carolina | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…5c1ebacked North Carolina | 23c | 190$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed North Carolina | 31c | 164.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed North Carolina | 29c | 161.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.16 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…48f2backed North Carolina | 31c | 159.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked North Carolina | 15c | 155$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed UCF | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed UCF | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed UCF | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked UCF | 70c | 124.63$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.39 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…7cf5backed UCF | 70c | 102.94$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed North Carolina | 13c | 100.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed UCF | 70c | 95.12$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked North Carolina | 30c | 86.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…b867backed North Carolina | 36c | 84.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed North Carolina | 31c | 75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70a…feb6backed North Carolina | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked UCF | 70c | 61.43$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b5c…7f36backed North Carolina | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked UCF | 69c | 57.86$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e1…7edabacked UCF | 69c | 57.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed North Carolina | 32c | 40.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked North Carolina | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed UCF | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…8dfebacked UCF | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 32 | 87.5%28 W · 4 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 72cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x484f…28cbbacked UCF | 69c | 33.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6096…4810backed North Carolina | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked North Carolina | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2082…c686backed UCF | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fae…228bbacked UCF | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…73a9backed UCF | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed UCF | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7869…61d8backed UCF | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7b…f0bbbacked UCF | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed UCF | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4140…195fbacked UCF | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- North Carolina vs. UCFthis page
- Spread: UCF (-7.5)UCF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.