MLB · resolved market
Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68f2ee0290ff7060f9fab101a7b80a03b6a11bc834e99f53a08089ab347a2ffe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,652
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,298$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked No | 62c | 798.71$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.74 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed No | 15c | 710$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.1 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 6c | 409$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 32cpaid | +293.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…6083backed Yes | 50c | 363.05$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 35cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…8f0bbacked Yes | 61c | 247.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 5c | 230.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.07 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 10c | 229.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.32 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked No | 49c | 161$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 27c | 137.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…cefbbacked Yes | 71c | 133.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.92 | 509 | 62.9%320 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 30c | 123.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 35c | 76.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…ad71backed No | 50c | 69.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.78 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 64c | 67.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…aa6cbacked No | 49c | 66.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 25c | 64.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 44c | 53.89$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 24c | 45.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…5c4ebacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 30c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 39c | 34.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x405b…755cbacked Yes | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a4…3ee9backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 71c | 29.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…a160backed No | 50c | 20.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +119.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 76c | 17.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Puerto Rico win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?this page
- Will Canada win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?Yes won
- Will Cuba win Pool A at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.