Movies · resolved market
Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e41de91549cab1115656386ddc090ce8ba8e3acdcf9055038780127ae2a43e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 7c | 1,291$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.61 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991a…2411backed No | 8c | 943.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 4c | 934$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 9c | 764$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa400…ec34backed No | 9c | 722$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 5c | 680.87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked No | 9c | 598$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 7c | 524.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.09 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 4c | 485$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 6c | 473.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 61 | 8.2%5 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 8c | 450.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 428.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 111 | 4.5%5 W · 106 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 8c | 347.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 9c | 318$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…e0a4backed No | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked No | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed No | 9c | 266$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…a0c9backed No | 9c | 256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed No | 5c | 213$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 16c | 204.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.71 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 8c | 180.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…c2c6backed No | 7c | 158.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 10c | 101.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 90 | 1.1%1 W · 89 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 6cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 77c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will The Studio win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Abbott Elementary win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Hacks win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will The Bear win Best Television Series – Comedy or Musical at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.