La Liga · resolved market
Girona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75ba2fac2b1b83e0ec63348b999f942e2073c990e200f745eaba5e04c6bc7e56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,244
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,244 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5adf…d32abacked Under | 54c | 20,254$10,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,937.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Over | 48c | 10,000$4,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.36 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Over | 48c | 8,056$3,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,188.92 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,225$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.31 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 45c | 3,244$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,793.2 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 1,471$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.45 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Under | 54c | 999.87$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.93 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Over | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 53c | 667.06$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.45 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Under | 52c | 470$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -6.6wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 46c | 425.15$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.58 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 106 | 34%36 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…bd3abacked Over | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 53c | 150$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Under | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Over | 67c | 104.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa14…ebb0backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Under | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Over | 33c | 76.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Over | 48c | 52.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.19 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…8a5ebacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Over | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…2922backed Under | 73c | 27.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under | 60c | 24.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…2ae4backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Girona (-0.5)Real Oviedo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.