La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Sociedad (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe063fea0507810fff0e186cb520df2c0dcceaf790498cf4b72974c12cee6365f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Sociedadof Real Sociedad, Sevilla
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52d2…2280backed Sevilla | 61c | 6,237$3,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,773.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Real Sociedad | 40c | 3,027$1,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.57 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fe…c8c2backed Sevilla | 54c | 120.37$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Sevilla | 50c | 67.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Real Sociedad | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…fc42backed Sevilla | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…6651backed Real Sociedad | 50c | 33.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f2…45a7backed Sevilla | 52c | 31.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Sevilla | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Real Sociedad | 48c | 28.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…05c1backed Sevilla | 53c | 27.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…05cebacked Sevilla | 52c | 26.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…4928backed Real Sociedad | 50c | 24.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Sociedad (-0.5)this page
- Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.