MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool D: Israel vs. Nicaragua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65449482b360dd21d47e09a1bad3a612b6f34522e1ab061ea95a10e386921e72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Israelof Israel, Nicaragua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $343,587 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Israel | 55c | 235,908$129,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106,491.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Nicaragua | 45c | 105,080$47,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,284.66 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Nicaragua | 45c | 79,570$35,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,806 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Israel | 55c | 36,143$19,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,431.44 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Nicaragua | 45c | 32,181$14,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,440.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Nicaragua | 45c | 25,487$11,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,468.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Nicaragua | 47c | 13,864$6,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.35 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Nicaragua | 47c | 13,584$6,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,357.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Nicaragua | 45c | 10,886$4,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,879.36 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Israel | 55c | 8,159$4,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,673.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Israel | 55c | 5,625$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Israel | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Israel | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Nicaragua | 45c | 3,330$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.49 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Nicaragua | 46c | 2,870$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Nicaragua | 44c | 2,860$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.59 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Israel | 55c | 2,833$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.69 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Nicaragua | 45c | 2,382$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Nicaragua | 45c | 2,130$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.5 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Israel | 70c | 2,030$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.46 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Nicaragua | 48c | 1,850$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe792…80bcbacked Nicaragua | 55c | 1,819$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Nicaragua | 47c | 1,800$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Israel | 56c | 1,406$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Israel | 56c | 1,021$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.68 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Nicaragua | 44c | 1,011$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.72 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Israel | 47c | 1,007$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.94 | 143 | 28.7%41 W · 102 L | -11.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Israel | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Nicaragua | 31c | 801.62$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.41 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Nicaragua | 54c | 793$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.13 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Nicaragua | 45c | 775.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8727…8c3abacked Nicaragua | 45c | 666.66$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed Nicaragua | 45c | 655.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Nicaragua | 46c | 645$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 321 | 52%167 W · 154 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Israel | 50c | 627.27$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.57 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Nicaragua | 48c | 625$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Nicaragua | 47c | 616$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Nicaragua | 34c | 573$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.26 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1394…b8b6backed Nicaragua | 45c | 508.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Nicaragua | 44c | 472.13$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Israel | 46c | 472$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.09 | 840 | 49.4%415 W · 425 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9162…162cbacked Israel | 53c | 469.12$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Nicaragua | 44c | 420.55$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.31 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Nicaragua | 4c | 420$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Israel | 72c | 417.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nicaragua | 36c | 406.6$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Israel | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Israel | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2596…fd5abacked Israel | 59c | 380.45$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.39 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed Israel | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 68cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Nicaragua | 13c | 355.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…8a41backed Israel | 68c | 334.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Israel | 53c | 307.79$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.66 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Nicaragua | 45c | 292.53$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Israel | 73c | 284$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.31 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked Nicaragua | 44c | 280.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Israel | 69c | 257.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Nicaragua | 48c | 250$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Israel | 56c | 235.46$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Israel | 55c | 226.3$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Israel | 45c | 222.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.95 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nicaragua | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Nicaragua | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Nicaragua | 49c | 203.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…7f81backed Nicaragua | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe304…4b0bbacked Israel | 55c | 200$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Israel | 53c | 186.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.93 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Nicaragua | 29c | 181.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Israel | 56c | 180$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Israel | 56c | 178.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.83 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Israel | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Nicaragua | 45c | 177.78$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 465 | 57.2%266 W · 199 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Israel | 73c | 176.35$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd08c…8a89backed Nicaragua | 45c | 166.67$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Israel | 55c | 146.02$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nicaragua | 40c | 141.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Israel | 66c | 141$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9450…d9e6backed Nicaragua | 44c | 136.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Israel | 42c | 133.28$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Nicaragua | 45c | 124$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Nicaragua | 46c | 111.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Nicaragua | 45c | 108.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Israel | 54c | 103.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nicaragua | 39c | 102.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.31 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Israel | 37c | 101.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Israel | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Israel | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 47 | 14.9%7 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…0815backed Israel | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Israel | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccc5…ada3backed Israel | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…c0bbbacked Israel | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x946d…0e7dbacked Nicaragua | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Nicaragua | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Israel | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4342…5797backed Nicaragua | 63c | 92.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.35 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e36…3fd0backed Israel | 20c | 92.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Israel | 43c | 89.29$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.83 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Israel | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Israel | 58c | 88.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Nicaragua | 45c | 86.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.