Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x51c3656da9bc9f4a73a2f1a345ec285d2c2dd0fbf0f97fb13c74216e93f2bada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,716
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,716 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 80c | 25,000$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 20c | 25,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 19c | 4,755$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.9 | 110 | 54.5%60 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 12c | 3,345$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.37 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 21c | 1,000$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.46 | 98 | 11.2%11 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5753…0da7backed Yes | 80c | 653.4$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 80c | 627.69$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 18c | 544.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 20c | 512.94$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.43 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 79c | 429.62$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 21c | 378$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 79c | 312$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 18c | 235.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 79c | 163$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 80c | 150.85$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 56 | 67.9%38 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 23c | 149.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0da8…fe8dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcece…8c50backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…5df3backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 21c | 69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…1ec7backed Yes | 77c | 52.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90d5…7270backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…199dbacked Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 19 | 89.5%17 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…2779backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb06…1f7dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-26?this page
- Will CD Tondela vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Tondela win on 2025-10-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.