MLB · resolved market
First Round Pool C: Czechia vs. Chinese Taipei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85eba0de1fc653fcf1982f6b2a3dc76c4b1572374d22e0fa6a6bf9ea4dc37a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chinese Taipeiof Czechia, Chinese Taipei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,793 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Czechia | 2c | 6,888$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ad…2dbbbacked Czechia | 0c | 3,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Czechia | 1c | 3,054$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Czechia | 15c | 2,730$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.44 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Czechia | 18c | 2,628$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.38 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Czechia | 3c | 2,220$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.92 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Czechia | 19c | 1,300$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Czechia | 15c | 1,255$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.75 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…5889backed Czechia | 16c | 1,250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1649…7f22backed Czechia | 15c | 1,012$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.96 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd0…2222backed Czechia | 15c | 949$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.55 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Czechia | 18c | 649.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Czechia | 12c | 614.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296c…86cfbacked Czechia | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9db…f64fbacked Czechia | 14c | 513.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe86a…e272backed Czechia | 15c | 503.6$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Czechia | 18c | 484$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Czechia | 17c | 462.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Czechia | 3c | 422.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…d5c0backed Czechia | 5c | 420$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Czechia | 18c | 317.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0231…f72bbacked Czechia | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -68%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Czechia | 5c | 291.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Czechia | 18c | 270$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Czechia | 17c | 266.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dfb…b019backed Czechia | 23c | 262.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948d…5f90backed Czechia | 20c | 251.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Chinese Taipei | 79c | 243.67$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Czechia | 18c | 238.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c69…eec3backed Czechia | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +100.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…0324backed Czechia | 18c | 200$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…a473backed Czechia | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Czechia | 18c | 194.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538d…34b1backed Czechia | 26c | 192.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Czechia | 17c | 185.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x750c…d430backed Czechia | 20c | 182.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…0dcebacked Czechia | 15c | 174.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…b829backed Czechia | 9c | 152.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ada9backed Czechia | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Czechia | 21c | 147.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Czechia | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 258 | 54.3%140 W · 118 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd395…3731backed Czechia | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14d0…fc0ebacked Czechia | 22c | 138.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed Czechia | 22c | 136.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…371fbacked Czechia | 19c | 114.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Czechia | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3b…aac1backed Czechia | 18c | 109.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a32…ef38backed Czechia | 19c | 105.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…9d17backed Czechia | 12c | 101$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb568…14d4backed Czechia | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Czechia | 12c | 99.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Czechia | 19c | 97.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfc…5943backed Czechia | 21c | 93.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Czechia | 16c | 90.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cac…344fbacked Chinese Taipei | 80c | 90.45$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…f194backed Czechia | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Czechia | 16c | 80.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Chinese Taipei | 79c | 78.19$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 447 | 45.6%204 W · 243 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Czechia | 20c | 70$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…1c79backed Czechia | 18c | 61.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d65dbacked Czechia | 18c | 61.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9466…1f15backed Czechia | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dc…ab58backed Czechia | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb9…7f59backed Czechia | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…f9fdbacked Chinese Taipei | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58c…8387backed Chinese Taipei | 80c | 42.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d61…c29dbacked Chinese Taipei | 80c | 38.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Chinese Taipei | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaba…dbdebacked Chinese Taipei | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Chinese Taipei | 70c | 25.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cab…63a0backed Chinese Taipei | 75c | 16.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.94 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.