TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Trent Williams win the NFL Protector of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$15,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea3f…d0b4backed Yes30c624$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b19…b41abacked Yes30c334$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f24…6ac1backed Yes30c334$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f8…c47ebacked Yes30c281$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf5…5da8backed Yes30c244$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7721…4676backed No70c242$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.572100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+187.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3511…4cb1backed Yes30c232$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef5…a454backed Yes25c228.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.036625.8%17 W · 49 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes11c228.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2760%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e72…849bbacked Yes30c225$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+249.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86ed…6571backed No70c225$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+219.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf67b…dce8backed Yes31c217$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc439…a7edbacked Yes30c214$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f9…b64abacked Yes31c212.22$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec2…5970backed No70c192$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+138.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387f…085bbacked No70c190$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+180.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b9…0c14backed Yes30c174$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb89…fcdebacked Yes32c165$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.47250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e6…7299backed No68c165$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.47450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2db3…c2d6backed Yes30c163$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+147.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ca…c0dfbacked Yes30c157$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3504…8184backed Yes30c153$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433f…d109backed Yes31c145$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762f…087dbacked No70c138$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.952100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+96.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd24…cccebacked No70c136$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e20…90a5backed Yes30c135$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…5ca2backed No70c135$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+209.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce00…3c4ebacked Yes30c129$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb73f…feacbacked Yes31c125$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…2d4ebacked Yes30c124$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50ed…a4fabacked Yes30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef77…19dcbacked Yes30c118$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c9…e0eebacked No70c118$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6c1…ecbfbacked Yes30c116$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe731…d0d9backed No70c115$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a0e…ba20backed No70c115$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.88366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01e7…d62ebacked Yes30c109$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f8…275cbacked No70c102$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1206…0c1fbacked No70c101$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafa1…1ea0backed No70c99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9416…9053backed No70c99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf93…7008backed No70c97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb098…1c5ebacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51b0…74b6backed Yes32c93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ad…7b93backed Yes30c93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a77…349bbacked Yes30c92$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Yes31c89.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.531926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62a5…4e93backed Yes31c89$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…6f47backed Yes31c88$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…601abacked Yes30c86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb425…02e7backed No70c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe82f…8f0cbacked No69c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7861…a813backed No70c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cdf…9b9bbacked No70c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b25…f990backed No70c81$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7dd…61f3backed No69c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23cd…fb54backed Yes30c77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70af…bdf0backed No70c76$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc1b…cbacbacked No69c75$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae7e…094dbacked Yes30c75$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf13…9e19backed Yes31c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a67…659fbacked No70c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68e…51edbacked Yes31c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeed0…fa02backed Yes30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1662…c4e1backed Yes30c69$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0944…5c32backed Yes30c68$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb385…b8b9backed No70c68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e6…db6cbacked No69c66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bfe…ec7fbacked No70c66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+218.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x67c5…9a81backed Yes30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf87b…ede6backed No70c65$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f29…95a7backed Yes30c64$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b6e…18dbbacked No70c64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae9…f8e9backed No69c62$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.472100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+134.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ea…8534backed Yes31c62$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd2…0c18backed No70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x390a…145bbacked No69c59$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea37…b476backed Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…9775backed Yes30c57$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa42…e9a6backed No70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb457…c3ffbacked No70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf41…6154backed Yes31c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1536…c58ebacked No70c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.06333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-52.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…3b62backed No70c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f5…e249backed No70c53$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b7d…69fbbacked No69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31f9…1d98backed Yes30c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f91…4c4ebacked Yes30c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ef6…cecabacked Yes30c48$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x852c…920abacked No69c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e61…25c7backed No70c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.59250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…be64backed No70c48$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90de…6308backed Yes30c47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8f8…131fbacked No70c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6c…1892backed No70c47$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4438…54e3backed No69c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb7…4020backed No70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.982100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e4…4193backed No70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…f77bbacked No70c45$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+26.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x279c…fa0fbacked No70c44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.