TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will Garett Bolles win the NFL Protector of the Year?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,194

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab78…fac0backed Yes11c925.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100422.4%1 W · 41 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-95.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58a1…2bcdbacked Yes30c707$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.51250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43be…ef35backed Yes30c339$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.38250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fd0…c6a7backed Yes19c325$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ec7…adcabacked Yes30c266$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dc7…e9fdbacked No70c264$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92e0…f5bdbacked Yes33c259$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb73f…d5ccbacked No70c244$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.693100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84a8…3ef1backed Yes30c232$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf957…4651backed Yes33c216$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.71333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+58.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e6…7299backed Yes33c215$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.38450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+61.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb20…6e28backed Yes33c207$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa895…8a4ebacked No70c199$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.12100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+180%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47a8…0518backed Yes33c174.15$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+59.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8597…e344backed Yes33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2b…15dbbacked Yes30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1f97…65c8backed Yes33c145$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…fd30backed Yes33c142$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…cef6backed Yes30c141$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed Yes11c134.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.891216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6962…fa36backed Yes30c129$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa03e…58d6backed Yes33c125$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+146.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ef…f460backed No70c123$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.152100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca5…1855backed No67c122$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+44.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x086e…c9d8backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.242100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…2741backed Yes34c118$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb82f…d5d1backed Yes34c117$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd893…a7c2backed Yes34c116$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad4f…4c44backed Yes34c116$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aab…f6a5backed Yes30c115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…7839backed Yes30c115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b75…d569backed No67c112$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe65d…2f09backed Yes33c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d0d…5d0bbacked Yes33c107$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b9a…fd5fbacked Yes33c105$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x131c…7324backed Yes30c103$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a54…65b0backed No66c99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x837a…3e71backed Yes34c98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…1bc0backed Yes33c98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e7f…1cdcbacked Yes34c97$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d43…fabbbacked No70c96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba51…8005backed No70c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.392100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+93%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebc8…04e7backed No67c94$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3506…afb9backed No67c93$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe06d…8ce9backed No70c92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d59…7d10backed Yes31c91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes18c89.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7518427.7%51 W · 133 L-18.4wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x70ad…3e3ebacked No66c88$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6378…0341backed Yes33c87$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefcc…d74dbacked No67c85$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114c…9339backed Yes33c85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39c2…cd81backed Yes33c84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b1f…edfcbacked No70c83$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5b…3bf4backed No67c81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab7e…2a88backed No67c81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf977…d2b0backed No67c81$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b34backed No70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+121%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa756…ca70backed Yes34c78$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…642fbacked No67c76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2139…14ebbacked No70c75$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfdd…c700backed Yes33c75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x821e…6484backed No70c74$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6747…a64fbacked Yes32c73.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.141926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc2…754bbacked Yes33c71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.57250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb5…8fb8backed No67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a5f…6b73backed No67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d03…bdaabacked No67c69$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb475…1225backed No67c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.583100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+131.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2c7…0154backed Yes33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b21…c6b9backed Yes33c63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa66e…d3a1backed Yes34c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed09…3073backed No67c61$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.263100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+74.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb945…f16fbacked Yes30c59$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb7…cad4backed No67c57$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d6a…ef61backed Yes33c57$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x550e…e07cbacked No70c56$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc62…67d2backed No67c56$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Yes29c55.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.49744.3%43 W · 54 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f3d…57a1backed No67c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b35…cab6backed No66c54$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.472100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf67…bbdbbacked Yes33c54$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa65…e99cbacked Yes33c53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0d…afc5backed No70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd17e…b565backed No70c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-28.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07ce…1023backed Yes33c52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6c…b455backed No70c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8659…5e8abacked Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2143…7b80backed No66c49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d41…d217backed Yes30c49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c45…d063backed No67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+106.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75bb…5336backed No67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf877…8783backed No67c48$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2eea…2802backed Yes42c47.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787d…aa41backed Yes33c47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x352b…44b4backed No67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d74…6e3dbacked No67c46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.273100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8cc…9769backed Yes33c46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c11…e903backed No70c46$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.893100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x050c…9141backed Yes33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a3…627abacked Yes33c45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.