College Football · resolved market
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97d7dd45e61d8e2d43d6aad0ebc1cb58b97fd8531fb54c2cc5b1141b7b7316a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 26c | 863.94$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.44 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes | 20c | 547.22$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.19 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04a1…d6e6backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 27c | 399.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 73c | 342$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.76 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff26…b20dbacked No | 76c | 269.69$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f8…1f1ebacked Yes | 38c | 263.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…a5bcbacked No | 62c | 197.12$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 46c | 113.13$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…05f7backed Yes | 38c | 106$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.92 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…58e1backed Yes | 55c | 90.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 61c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 45c | 36.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 70c | 27.37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.21 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685f…da8dbacked Yes | 53c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?this page
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?No won
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?Yes won
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.