College Football · resolved market
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33767f93216390b48cf58f992cfde60ccc1e1f6c5d51fc8e82c8c9cbbc929b1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,029$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 561.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7185…a5bcbacked Yes | 12c | 560.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…d24dbacked No | 72c | 472.49$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.42 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…916ebacked Yes | 31c | 447.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +93%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes | 18c | 404.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9292…2cd1backed Yes | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…b978backed Yes | 4c | 310.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e1…ed9fbacked Yes | 19c | 265$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 76c | 237.15$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…1f64backed Yes | 19c | 195$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefba…9dcfbacked Yes | 19c | 182$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…94b6backed Yes | 22c | 132.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b8…6f30backed Yes | 9c | 131.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…df06backed Yes | 19c | 127$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6295…3a77backed Yes | 19c | 111$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 74c | 105.96$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…f213backed Yes | 19c | 94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 22c | 84.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04db…5c88backed Yes | 19c | 73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf4…9979backed Yes | 17c | 69.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…0d20backed Yes | 19c | 68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 76c | 59.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…6995backed Yes | 24c | 56.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…ffaabacked Yes | 19c | 54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 37.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed No | 78c | 27.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0757…31d6backed No | 75c | 26.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524e…6797backed No | 75c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?this page
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?Yes won
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 12?No won
- Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.