Music · resolved market
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dc7b88a58d21cac35702ed2d29d1dfb2cdae3e76c5b7974adddb384147c79a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,064
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 4cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,557$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 784.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 462 | 9.7%45 W · 417 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 57c | 624.97$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.09 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 4c | 500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1601…ed94backed Yes | 49c | 408.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…8fd6backed Yes | 5c | 367.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 53c | 357.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 54c | 312.29$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.87 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 5c | 301.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…ef6dbacked Yes | 34c | 295$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed No | 54c | 276.29$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.22 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 55c | 223$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.35 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…4fd7backed Yes | 50c | 160$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2b…5072backed No | 69c | 144.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ea…ee26backed Yes | 64c | 142.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 47c | 126$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes | 19c | 125.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…966bbacked Yes | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Yes | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca0…e17abacked No | 42c | 118.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1970…398dbacked Yes | 52c | 109.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 41c | 94.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…0239backed No | 50c | 87.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 45c | 85.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 37c | 85.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 45c | 79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c92…4744backed No | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked Yes | 55c | 72.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 47c | 70.16$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…84f1backed No | 63c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…75ebbacked Yes | 50c | 57.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…9dedbacked Yes | 64c | 50.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d2…ea1dbacked No | 66c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e79…6c9bbacked No | 53c | 38.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d36…06edbacked No | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…5016backed No | 62c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 49c | 29.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9b…1c56backed No | 66c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…4585backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +6.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…be6cbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3faf…9c93backed Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a7…4fdfbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Iceland participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ireland participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Italy participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Kazakhstan participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova participate in Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will North Macedonia participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Slovenia participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.