TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,358

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,358 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b4d…e246backed Under49c20,717$10,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,054.144650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c20,353$10,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,874.9534144.6%152 W · 189 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Over52c11,020$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,289.3810553.3%56 W · 49 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under51c7,442$3,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.213,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Under46c4,990$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,294.66944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under48c4,375$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,10020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under48c4,141$1,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,987.62951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under49c4,116$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0171952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20033244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over53c3,774$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,773.587967.1%53 W · 26 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90a1…73d6backed Over52c2,500$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf425…be71backed Over41c2,426$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.672356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+37.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under48c2,062$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9602661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under49c1,877$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.281,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under47c1,761$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.8275142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09d6…bfd6backed Under48c1,667$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over54c1,622$877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.921,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over48c1,500$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78044655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under48c825$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39617251.7%89 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over55c800$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36013461.9%83 W · 51 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under47c735.83$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.971,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Over51c489.99$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.0910026%26 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Over49c443.05$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.7719139.8%76 W · 115 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over51c391.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.264273.8%31 W · 11 L+12.1wins+0.29per pick45cpaid+73%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over52c381.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.511978.9%15 W · 4 L+6.3wins+0.33per pick46cpaid+74.2%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Over47c349$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.971833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over57c347.37$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.962268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.5wins+0.25per pick43cpaid+60.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Under5c312.88$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.921315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9012952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1617855.6%99 W · 79 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Over53c236.76$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.766435.9%23 W · 41 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x140d…a937backed Over66c227.4$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Over51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987847.4%37 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc385…8eb0backed Over79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.875066%33 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.579067.8%61 W · 29 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Over68c165.63$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.571546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under52c164.22$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.871,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over78c150$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332462.5%15 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc19d…7204backed Over71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851040%4 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+17.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c7…4078backed Under43c138.91$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.531118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c135.71$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.6933938.1%129 W · 210 L-16.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.11275%9 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+17.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over56c133.93$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9318958.2%110 W · 79 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under45c124.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037344.5%166 W · 207 L-15.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Over50c106.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.357251.4%37 W · 35 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c100.4$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7935856.4%202 W · 156 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee26…9dcabacked Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.20per pick41cpaid+48.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0416046.9%75 W · 85 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over62c97.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2316056.9%91 W · 69 L+13.3wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9120957.4%120 W · 89 L-0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under43c83.51$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9149647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd236…a65ebacked Under48c80.87$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.822955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.434655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under27c77$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.819254.7%105 W · 87 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfece…8b97backed Over54c70.2$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.552536%9 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11cf…2674backed Over61c69$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+34.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over68c66.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.288366.3%55 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick68cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under43c65$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9563645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over52c64.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9662452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac5f…eb06backed Over51c63.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9e…f53abacked Over48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under43c58.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00b7…5b93backed Over47c52.66$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.91875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+55.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.512843%55 W · 73 L-9.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Under45c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.55944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1538845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…26c0backed Over52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711540.9%47 W · 68 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed Over48c41.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.664153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Under44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.64841.7%20 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.973066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7420540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over53c35.42$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5412064.2%77 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over57c35.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.132334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under39c34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.413644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2449…3799backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x859d…3cecbacked Over51c30.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.784641.3%19 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Over43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.14242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x421a…51a3backed Over57c29.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5649…99adbacked Over57c29.82$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.822948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddc5…a314backed Over57c28.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under45c26.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.051050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6af8…a57cbacked Under44c25.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Over61c25.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.02977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under48c25.27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2430647.1%144 W · 162 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over55c23.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.719658.3%56 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over54c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.581,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.814942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under57c17.68$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0720153.7%108 W · 93 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.