Bundesliga · resolved market
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f2fc8bd250d37d66b7c0a8c6bc7416ccfc55762cdbe8145632e3220442b2ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,358 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Under | 49c | 20,717$10,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,054.14 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 20,353$10,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,874.95 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 52c | 11,020$5,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,289.38 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 7,442$3,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,761.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Under | 46c | 4,990$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb96e…b3a2backed Under | 48c | 4,375$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 48c | 4,141$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.6 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 49c | 4,116$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 53c | 3,774$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773.58 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Over | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 41c | 2,426$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.67 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf617…80c9backed Under | 48c | 2,062$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 1,877$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.28 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 47c | 1,761$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.82 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…bfd6backed Under | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 54c | 1,622$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.92 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 48c | 825$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 55c | 800$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 735.83$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.97 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 51c | 489.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.09 | 100 | 26%26 W · 74 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 49c | 443.05$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 51c | 391.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +12.1wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +73%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 52c | 381.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.51 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.33per pick | 46cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…0888backed Over | 47c | 349$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.97 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 57c | 347.37$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.25per pick | 43cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Under | 5c | 312.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 53c | 236.76$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -7.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x140d…a937backed Over | 66c | 227.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc385…8eb0backed Over | 79c | 189.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.87 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c3…60d9backed Over | 68c | 165.63$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 52c | 164.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.87 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Over | 78c | 150$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83c7…4078backed Under | 43c | 138.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.7wins | -0.34per pick | 52cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 135.71$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.69 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 45c | 124.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 44.5%166 W · 207 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Over | 50c | 106.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.35 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 51c | 100.4$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 62c | 97.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +13.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc91…0fdbbacked Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 83.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.91 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd236…a65ebacked Under | 48c | 80.87$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…3ce8backed Over | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 27c | 77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…8b97backed Over | 54c | 70.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Over | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 66.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 52c | 64.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 51c | 63.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…f53abacked Over | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 43c | 58.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.17 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Over | 47c | 52.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.91 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed Over | 48c | 41.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 53c | 35.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf1…23c6backed Over | 57c | 35.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Under | 39c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2449…3799backed Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Over | 51c | 30.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x421a…51a3backed Over | 57c | 29.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5649…99adbacked Over | 57c | 29.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc5…a314backed Over | 57c | 28.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Under | 45c | 26.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…a57cbacked Under | 44c | 25.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked Over | 61c | 25.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 48c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 55c | 23.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…4b3bbacked Under | 57c | 17.68$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-1.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: Hamburger SV (-2.5)VfL Wolfsburg won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-1.5)Hamburger SV won
- Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)Hamburger SV won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 1.5Over won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5Under won
- VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.