Champions League · resolved market
Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2113f0677a4d53aae64f0151746af96aea06a7f6320f4f184ee5da5ca301a43f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bda…a277backed No | 48c | 39,500$18,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,540 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…ff4fbacked Yes | 52c | 39,500$20,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,540 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 1,662$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.92 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 5c | 1,187$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c15…c2bfbacked Yes | 5c | 898.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…94eabacked Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 368.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…41d2backed Yes | 41c | 243.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 59c | 234.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.17 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4c…ad1bbacked Yes | 5c | 216.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0392…ab02backed Yes | 12c | 212.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9704…e11bbacked Yes | 16c | 153.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed No | 75c | 51.96$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…ad16backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb788…2833backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…1699backed No | 80c | 31.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4179…4045backed No | 52c | 31.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked No | 77c | 27.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Yes | 41c | 27.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe751…5a2abacked No | 79c | 14.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 69c | 14.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Martín Zubimendi record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?this page
- Will Declan Rice record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
- Will Mikel Merino record the most yellow cards in 2025-26 UEFA Champions League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.