CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ff801b70c59fe4e09f0d0950a69d54208593c64480f41b151c2dc5d6ef673b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WHITEBIRDof MOUZ NXT, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,844
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,844 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 3,617$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.81 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked WHITEBIRD | 61c | 2,386$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.2 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed WHITEBIRD | 59c | 1,464$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.94 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 1,205$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.05 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed WHITEBIRD | 61c | 656.81$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.81 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed MOUZ NXT | 19c | 444$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.36 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed MOUZ NXT | 22c | 397.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 383.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.35 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ NXT | 40c | 380.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 367.85$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 302.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.94 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked WHITEBIRD | 79c | 298.59$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.66 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 289$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed WHITEBIRD | 61c | 283.61$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ NXT | 15c | 259.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc255…0470backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.06 | 148 | 63.5%94 W · 54 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 254.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d1…f540backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 250$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 178 | 49.4%88 W · 90 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked MOUZ NXT | 39c | 221.2$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.27 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…d206backed WHITEBIRD | 61c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed MOUZ NXT | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed WHITEBIRD | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed WHITEBIRD | 59c | 163$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ NXT | 16c | 158.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked MOUZ NXT | 37c | 147.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.62 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8695…9afabacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed WHITEBIRD | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 133.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 118.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…24d2backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…750abacked WHITEBIRD | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed MOUZ NXT | 28c | 98.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 157 | 38.2%60 W · 97 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 86.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.63 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked WHITEBIRD | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…a520backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 64.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8158…4df5backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 62.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed WHITEBIRD | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked MOUZ NXT | 22c | 49.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked WHITEBIRD | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed MOUZ NXT | 38c | 44.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed WHITEBIRD | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 30.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e53…5c9dbacked WHITEBIRD | 60c | 29.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed MOUZ NXT | 39c | 28.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed MOUZ NXT | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed WHITEBIRD | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd45…c05ebacked WHITEBIRD | 79c | 15.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs WHITEBIRD - Map 2 WinnerWHITEBIRD won
- Map Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5)WHITEBIRD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.