MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d5884babbd96cec606ae134a7468b9daa515cc722f1c5cfdc8a966ca63c3de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cleveland Guardiansof Cleveland Guardians, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $514,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 56,316$28,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,594.82 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Athletics | 49c | 51,000$24,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,990 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Athletics | 47c | 44,455$21,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,038.26 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 25c | 38,337$9,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,478.44 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 59c | 26,551$15,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,758.96 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 21,915$13,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,648.86 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,199.83 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5639…a907backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 19,153$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,153 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 49c | 16,970$8,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,368.51 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 14,415$7,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800.25 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Athletics | 34c | 10,236$3,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,515.59 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 8,899$4,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,521.96 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 8,064$5,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,002.33 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 7,687$3,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,910.89 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 6,878$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.99 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 5,836$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.87 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Athletics | 26c | 5,348$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,367.61 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Athletics | 9c | 5,097$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 141 | 34%48 W · 93 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 3,897$2,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.68 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 70c | 3,683$2,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.74 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Athletics | 49c | 3,673$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 3,623$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…8235backed Athletics | 43c | 3,378$1,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,467.79 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Athletics | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Athletics | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 2,776$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.11 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 62c | 2,734$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.77 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,600$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 2,521$1,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.49 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 69c | 2,353$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.19 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 72c | 1,809$1,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.67 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Athletics | 56c | 1,800$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…e11cbacked Athletics | 39c | 1,795$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 35c | 1,588$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.38 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,565$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.89 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 8c | 1,468$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.95 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,356$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.01 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Athletics | 34c | 1,205$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.35 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 29c | 1,176$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.4 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Athletics | 16c | 1,152$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,124$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.08 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 1,059$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.32 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 36c | 1,043$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.31 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Athletics | 42c | 1,021$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 1,001$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.29 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Athletics | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…a1b0backed Athletics | 39c | 1,000$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.38 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Athletics | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -80.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0625…96babacked Athletics | 16c | 900.19$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.03 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed Athletics | 5c | 863.16$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd710…cf6fbacked Athletics | 65c | 770.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 757.37$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.17 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 58c | 755.99$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.27 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.05 | 508 | 60.2%306 W · 202 L | +29.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…0634backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 731.21$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.05 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 730.88$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.1 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 60c | 658.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.57 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Athletics | 30c | 656.96$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.73 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Athletics | 11c | 638.9$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…43d0backed Athletics | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 624.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.99 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 611.86$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.42 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Athletics | 49c | 604.04$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Athletics | 19c | 592.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Athletics | 34c | 569.52$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.51 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Athletics | 32c | 525.97$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.31 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…3079backed Athletics | 61c | 520$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Athletics | 18c | 518.22$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Athletics | 49c | 510$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Athletics | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 500$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.17 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 79c | 499.62$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Athletics | 49c | 489.8$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Athletics | 59c | 468.89$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.31 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…5da8backed Athletics | 8c | 449.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 418.32$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.38 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 412$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 78c | 404.24$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Athletics | 35c | 403.29$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.51 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9482…36b4backed Cleveland Guardians | 63c | 403$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd211…628bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Cleveland Guardians | 49c | 378$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.78 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…90a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 375$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 171 | 52.6%90 W · 81 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Athletics | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 368.49$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.77 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Cleveland Guardians | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cleveland Guardians | 74c | 356.5$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Athletics | 32c | 355.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 75c | 339.01$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 31c | 337.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.03 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Athletics | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Cleveland Guardians | 64c | 325$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Cleveland Guardians | 61c | 312.94$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.06 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Athletics | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8de…a2b8backed Athletics | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Athletics | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athleticsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Cleveland Guardians won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-3.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.