Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd7c78cd8522fe6000150d8297f5c1d9edafb855b9cde72fc76dfb1531cfdd2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,832$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 1,708$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.51 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…b78abacked Under | 58c | 946.59$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 66c | 606.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 521.24$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.24 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 61c | 429.97$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.18 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 35c | 299.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.5 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 277.53$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.79 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Under | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 90 | 70%63 W · 27 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…757bbacked Under | 56c | 247.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 47c | 199.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 20c | 149$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 17c | 148$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.84 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 75c | 133.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 33c | 133.06$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 19c | 109.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.18 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 18c | 107.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 29c | 78.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 34c | 78.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…0a76backed Over | 37c | 75.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 55c | 72.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 38c | 69.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 31c | 63.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.12 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 29c | 58.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5196…2196backed Over | 44c | 50.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 50c | 50.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 47c | 47.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 37c | 47.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.06 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 42c | 39.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Under | 55c | 36.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125c…f50abacked Over | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a8…daabbacked Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 60c | 25.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…3773backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.