Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2514326bd03142b07a58fac2ee47fb2938b9e6e285f70740ce7f289079800a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked Under | 1c | 5,622$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 44c | 4,069$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,284.44 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 56c | 3,796$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 44c | 2,199$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.44 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 63c | 1,281$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.11 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,119$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.61 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 1,111$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.39 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 37c | 916.74$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.54 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 36c | 579.11$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.11 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 45c | 353.33$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.33 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 51c | 327.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Over | 38c | 260$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 62c | 232$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.84 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6396…3e5cbacked Under | 62c | 208.06$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 66c | 206.19$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Under | 53c | 178.1$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.54 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 49c | 149.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 54c | 146.67$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…9fc3backed Under | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 42c | 110.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 34c | 94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 69c | 92.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 37c | 87.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.47 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 41c | 87.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 33c | 61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.87 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 54c | 55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 61c | 45.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda80…698fbacked Over | 50c | 39.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 41c | 34.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 73c | 34.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…7590backed Over | 75c | 31.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 47c | 31.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…2df3backed Under | 57c | 26.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 66c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Under | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Under | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Konyaspor (-1.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Konyaspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Konyaspor: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.