Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ec196de134f366777d412af731b1b522fd5a62310676c1f9fa4d681820a0b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb63…7fb5backed Yes | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,149.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 3,098$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.7 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 34c | 3,060$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,019.93 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 2,619$1,912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.42 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 45c | 2,494$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.91 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 2,222$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.52 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Yes | 66c | 1,507$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 66c | 1,040$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.09 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 70c | 980.24$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.25 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 40c | 815.67$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 748.07$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 33c | 515.15$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 26c | 396.73$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.15 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Yes | 30c | 334.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 34c | 295.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.34 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Yes | 68c | 279.41$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed No | 35c | 264.29$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…e209backed Yes | 39c | 233.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 35c | 223.02$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.85 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 37c | 212.51$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.88 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 51c | 201.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…5286backed Yes | 39c | 182.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 170$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.98 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 17c | 156.78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Yes | 34c | 147.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 34c | 138.97$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.72 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 67c | 138.64$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.26 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 66c | 133.32$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 51c | 128.31$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 55c | 127.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 34c | 127$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.82 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked No | 67c | 113.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.58 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 26c | 108.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…c85ebacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 99.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0a…8a73backed Yes | 48c | 83.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 33c | 82.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.1 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 67c | 74.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Yes | 27c | 63.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…0cf2backed Yes | 27c | 57.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 64c | 55.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 34c | 52.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 29c | 51.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 32c | 49.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0967…be0cbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 45.43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked No | 45c | 40.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 65c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed No | 34c | 31.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 36c | 31.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 73c | 30.39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…c64dbacked Yes | 45c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 66c | 25.76$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked Yes | 67c | 24.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 66c | 24.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Yes | 54c | 23.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 58c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…f50fbacked No | 73c | 14.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.