Asian League · resolved market
Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8cccabb143894942119f336be6591a201b9171a5c2ac3536f7627c57bc13a6eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,781
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Yes | 63c | 4,534$2,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.32 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 39c | 2,273$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.3 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,061$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.86 | 2,528 | 42.2%1,067 W · 1,461 L | +53.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 40c | 1,763$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.65 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98f…ab1abacked Yes | 58c | 768.97$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 14c | 727.36$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7065…5292backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.31per pick | 41cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 39c | 390$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 20c | 367.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.28 | 1,766 | 50.2%887 W · 879 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 33c | 364.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.75 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 78c | 353.17$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 37c | 338$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 1,035 | 41.6%431 W · 604 L | -33.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 80c | 260$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 215 | 52.1%112 W · 103 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 80c | 239$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.2 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…d4eabacked Yes | 72c | 231.67$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 80c | 220.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.26 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 19c | 129.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 15c | 124.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 20c | 92.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 33c | 83.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.03 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 79c | 74.06$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.51 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 73c | 72.72$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed No | 42c | 63.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.63 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 37c | 60.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 79c | 53.52$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 38c | 53.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 20c | 52.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 1,235 | 49.9%616 W · 619 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 62c | 45.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 79c | 43.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 37c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 80c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x756c…651bbacked Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 80c | 15.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.