Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b0ee2feeae6ed761a9a49cf69dd877f24350905f9dd4fac024910e14f514821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,707
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,707 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 45c | 4,445$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.78 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 50c | 4,293$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 55c | 2,958$1,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 40c | 1,997$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.35 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 14c | 1,571$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.28 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…aba4backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 49c | 795.92$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.92 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 714.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 6c | 516.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 14c | 428.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 14c | 399.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 5c | 310.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Yes | 12c | 213.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c22…0c2cbacked Yes | 28c | 163.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 40c | 151.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 14c | 137.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes | 56c | 132.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63a4…6c04backed No | 47c | 105.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e8…d7b7backed Yes | 25c | 80.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 76.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…09a8backed Yes | 21c | 70.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 26c | 61.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 53.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 50c | 44.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 49c | 40.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa172…0b26backed Yes | 53c | 23.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 20.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-05-01?this page
- Will Shandong Taishan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Shandong Taishan FC win on 2026-05-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.