TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chicago White Soxof Chicago White Sox, San Diego Padres
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,329
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,329 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Chicago White Sox43c52,389$22,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,861.8131149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed San Diego Padres57c50,000$28,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,50036047.5%171 W · 189 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres59c32,905$19,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,345.9137953.6%203 W · 176 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked San Diego Padres10c31,840$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,25012227.9%34 W · 88 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Chicago White Sox47c18,535$8,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,805.111,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked San Diego Padres27c15,238$4,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,150.921,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Chicago White Sox43c8,375$3,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7992,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed San Diego Padres0c7,769$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox41c5,537$2,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.95,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed San Diego Padres57c4,822$2,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,748.657750.6%39 W · 38 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc33a…3da3backed Chicago White Sox44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,52016947.9%81 W · 88 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Chicago White Sox43c4,440$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.0686548.7%421 W · 444 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres4c4,326$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.311,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox49c4,101$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,095.7412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Chicago White Sox42c4,066$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,358.284654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed San Diego Padres57c3,508$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.561,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Chicago White Sox71c3,163$2,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.241,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Chicago White Sox41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.0477951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Chicago White Sox41c2,879$1,181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked San Diego Padres57c2,412$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.6437348.3%180 W · 193 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked San Diego Padres57c2,254$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2858053.8%43 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Chicago White Sox42c2,204$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.771,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Chicago White Sox67c2,154$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.312,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Chicago White Sox65c2,123$1,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.691,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x982e…add6backed San Diego Padres2c2,017$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033228.3%94 W · 238 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa475…bfe7backed San Diego Padres57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1401643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a83…f94dbacked San Diego Padres57c1,827$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.3920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Chicago White Sox41c1,628$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.484454.5%24 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Chicago White Sox63c1,600$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.155,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed San Diego Padres56c1,559$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.843,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Chicago White Sox63c1,509$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.62,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked San Diego Padres9c1,413$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0361948.6%301 W · 318 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Chicago White Sox39c1,180$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.42,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed Chicago White Sox44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.365433.3%18 W · 36 L-9.2wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Chicago White Sox43c1,100$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6276459.4%38 W · 26 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x52e3…3337backed San Diego Padres59c1,003$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.5843253.9%233 W · 199 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Chicago White Sox41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.0616248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed San Diego Padres57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57012640.5%51 W · 75 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0551…3d39backed Chicago White Sox41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5901100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6a6…7247backed Chicago White Sox41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5902100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed San Diego Padres57c999.97$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9814938.3%57 W · 92 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Chicago White Sox41c970$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.37550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed San Diego Padres34c883.28$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.181,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033a…fc42backed Chicago White Sox41c876$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.846256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked San Diego Padres5c831.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826315.6%41 W · 222 L-11.9wins-0.05per pick20cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e1…7e55backed San Diego Padres57c817.37$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.94355.8%24 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x329c…2485backed Chicago White Sox42c808.2$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.769262%57 W · 35 L+8.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+21.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x0e13…c506backed Chicago White Sox43c793.7$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.415253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Chicago White Sox44c727.86$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.3757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Chicago White Sox69c724.58$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.575,12654.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L+231.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked San Diego Padres7c637.67$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4514243%61 W · 81 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc10d…e679backed San Diego Padres57c614.04$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Chicago White Sox42c599.99$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3461,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres26c578.25$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15037941.2%156 W · 223 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres57c565.08$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.14,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked San Diego Padres15c515.05$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5422831.6%72 W · 156 L-0.4wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked San Diego Padres57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28585952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed San Diego Padres57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed San Diego Padres60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.880159.2%474 W · 327 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed San Diego Padres7c487$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3378146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Padres8c473.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.464,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf692…dd55backed Chicago White Sox43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.12875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Chicago White Sox41c449.68$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.3116347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Chicago White Sox43c443.86$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.711,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Chicago White Sox44c441$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.9610249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed San Diego Padres59c433$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.4740645.1%183 W · 223 L-1.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Chicago White Sox41c408$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres57c399.97$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.116,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked San Diego Padres13c385.96$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Chicago White Sox62c355.27$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.71,72250.3%867 W · 855 L+55.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed San Diego Padres55c331.7$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.979538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Chicago White Sox42c314.07$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.1687352.7%460 W · 413 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Chicago White Sox44c300$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16822848.2%110 W · 118 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x743d…f77ebacked San Diego Padres59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1771050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed Chicago White Sox42c299.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.991,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Chicago White Sox71c280.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.176,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Chicago White Sox43c275$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7577050.5%389 W · 381 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb1…daecbacked San Diego Padres57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506159%36 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed San Diego Padres58c260$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.83063.3%19 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f7f…336fbacked San Diego Padres10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick18cpaid+197.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked Chicago White Sox42c239.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.41,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Chicago White Sox42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.120350.2%102 W · 101 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8060…7ee6backed San Diego Padres57c236.25$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.66540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x795f…e441backed Chicago White Sox44c234.51$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed San Diego Padres10c211.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1599744.1%440 W · 557 L-38.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed San Diego Padres57c210.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12034045%153 W · 187 L+1.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32de…ce27backed Chicago White Sox42c210$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.163644.7%284 W · 352 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed Chicago White Sox42c210$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.11,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Chicago White Sox37c205$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.151,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Chicago White Sox42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1163,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Chicago White Sox41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed Chicago White Sox76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4850860.2%306 W · 202 L+29.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1fc…5da8backed San Diego Padres7c195.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.435341.5%22 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked San Diego Padres57c192.98$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked San Diego Padres28c179.26$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.652053.8%280 W · 240 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3458…b5a7backed San Diego Padres57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014558.6%85 W · 60 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-11.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed San Diego Padres45c173.17$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.68350.6%42 W · 41 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed San Diego Padres58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004136.6%15 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-36.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd65c…9a48backed San Diego Padres60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed San Diego Padres62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015849.4%78 W · 80 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.