Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x299a228034a9eb1b4860b1c0bd5b2e7cda68558b9d576ced8531e52c67088981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 37c | 7,194$2,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,697.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 2,449$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 63c | 2,381$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.95 | 132 | 44.7%59 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 24c | 1,064$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.56 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…cf50backed No | 2c | 564.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 62c | 483.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 62c | 325.21$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 62c | 322.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.57 | 183 | 44.3%81 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 63c | 286.85$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 6c | 242.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 62c | 162.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 62c | 162.6$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.79 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 80c | 125.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Yes | 63c | 124.4$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 62c | 109.02$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 36c | 102.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.42 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 78c | 99.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 35c | 98.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 62c | 96.39$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd453…458ebacked Yes | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcb…207cbacked Yes | 63c | 81.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 14c | 71.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Yes | 62c | 69.84$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…5761backed Yes | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 63c | 61.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked No | 35c | 61.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 64c | 54.75$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad3e…eea3backed No | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Yes | 63c | 41.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 37c | 39.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Yes | 79c | 38.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 65c | 36.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 34c | 33.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 63c | 33.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 64c | 27.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed Yes | 80c | 25.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -50%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 63c | 21.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SK Brann win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Fredrikstad FK win on 2026-05-02?No won
- Will SK Brann vs. Fredrikstad FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.