Asian League · resolved market
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5657fc2306c8ca0dbc20c248f6cfd998f325b52c9be862b87af3300405adf9c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34ed…467abacked Under | 57c | 4,500$2,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,934.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 44c | 4,354$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.36 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 55c | 3,663$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.55 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 80c | 3,552$2,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.32 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 2,006$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.57 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 35c | 1,971$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 40c | 1,370$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 53c | 1,200$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 1,018$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.41 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Over | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 642.63$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Under | 56c | 491.07$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.07 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb5…ec99backed Over | 42c | 467$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 52c | 412.6$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.05 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 47c | 400$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb408…e303backed Under | 59c | 322.03$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Over | 46c | 239.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.39 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 52c | 198.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a5e9backed Over | 26c | 193.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad9…4859backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.6wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 37c | 113.26$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 80c | 110.11$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.02 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…dc9bbacked Over | 48c | 105$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 51c | 104.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…b7debacked Over | 49c | 101.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Over | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…b131backed Under | 57c | 88.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 82.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 114 | 33.3%38 W · 76 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 40c | 71.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 30c | 66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce4…da39backed Over | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd45c…bb50backed Over | 32c | 44.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…a57bbacked Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 74c | 41.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 61c | 40.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Over | 43c | 39.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x445b…cc32backed Under | 65c | 35.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked Over | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Over | 45c | 33.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 47c | 33.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 50c | 29.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 44c | 29.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Over | 46c | 28.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf692…dd55backed Under | 75c | 26.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.