Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xedadd815cbb0c51a7a6017c431dacaca2a33ed8bd620085c04b37c2e88b5985a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Urawa Red Diamondsof Urawa Red Diamonds, JEF United Ichihara Chiba
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 32c | 2,900$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 42c | 2,067$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.53 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 1,600$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 600$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 160$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a0…92f9backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 30c | 122.85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 116$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.88 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 70c | 114.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 101.88$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 58$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)this page
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.