Asian League · resolved market
Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe610b6d6d46cb586d7caaa5ae0291ab6b921318dbb2e1aa8b5d81937d8a6c5ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 10,574$6,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,785.86 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…93dfbacked Yes | 33c | 9,042$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.63 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…5ddebacked Yes | 42c | 1,199$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed No | 61c | 1,078$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.78 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Yes | 46c | 875.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…57b8backed Yes | 46c | 869.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 628.2$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.97 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Yes | 45c | 250$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 67c | 222.42$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 213.8$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 67c | 109.94$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 54c | 102.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.91 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Yes | 45c | 88.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 35c | 86.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked No | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 48.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 48.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 69c | 44.41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.87 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 23c | 44.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Yes | 45c | 41.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed No | 64c | 38.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 69c | 35.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 159 | 71.1%113 W · 46 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 71c | 30.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa7…303dbacked No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed No | 65c | 19.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5Over won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 2.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 3.5Under won
- Urawa Red Diamonds vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.