Tennis · resolved market
Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a3ac7df02cf072c1bf8b7719ad5d3cc4b4a7a08bf284303ed301195b6ea6586
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vilius Gaubasof Vilius Gaubas, Sebastian Baez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $358,590
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $358,590 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 285 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Vilius Gaubas | 52c | 36,776$19,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,510.39 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Sebastian Baez | 1c | 35,732$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.65 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vilius Gaubas | 41c | 26,553$10,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,662.8 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Sebastian Baez | 27c | 13,919$3,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.79 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Vilius Gaubas | 35c | 12,490$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,179.21 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Baez | 38c | 12,144$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.3 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 11,654$7,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,843.04 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Sebastian Baez | 72c | 9,843$7,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068.83 | 221 | 52.5%116 W · 105 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3905…82fcbacked Sebastian Baez | 72c | 9,266$6,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,671.31 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…01cabacked Sebastian Baez | 32c | 7,577$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397.46 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 6,955$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,007.26 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 6,920$4,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,913 | 438 | 63.9%280 W · 158 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 44c | 6,647$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,725.42 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Vilius Gaubas | 68c | 5,946$4,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.3 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Sebastian Baez | 0c | 5,609$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 5,475$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.06 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Sebastian Baez | 14c | 4,818$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.22 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sebastian Baez | 18c | 4,619$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.14 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vilius Gaubas | 53c | 4,414$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.24 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Sebastian Baez | 70c | 4,275$2,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,995.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 3,952$2,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,845.09 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 3,702$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.14 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 3,613$1,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,480.7 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Vilius Gaubas | 54c | 3,213$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.21 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ef…468bbacked Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,069.96 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a41…1cbbbacked Sebastian Baez | 53c | 2,975$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.3 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -10.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Sebastian Baez | 72c | 2,909$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.54 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vilius Gaubas | 46c | 2,756$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.21 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe611…b0b4backed Sebastian Baez | 64c | 2,653$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.17 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sebastian Baez | 50c | 2,574$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.79 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vilius Gaubas | 71c | 2,526$1,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.76 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 2,028$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440.18 | 582 | 32%186 W · 396 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.96 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sebastian Baez | 36c | 1,865$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.45 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sebastian Baez | 53c | 1,822$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.04 | 2,399 | 50.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L | +76.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 1,756$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176.24 | 412 | 51%210 W · 202 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 1,634$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.63 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Sebastian Baez | 32c | 1,527$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.66 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Vilius Gaubas | 64c | 1,521$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.89 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 1,488$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.75 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0206…bf76backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 1,378$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.78 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 1,291$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.08 | 1,354 | 38.3%518 W · 836 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Sebastian Baez | 3c | 1,258$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +496.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Sebastian Baez | 38c | 1,129$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.03 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa164…7d86backed Vilius Gaubas | 47c | 1,060$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.85 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 1,006$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.45 | 965 | 41.5%400 W · 565 L | +14.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542b…8aa7backed Sebastian Baez | 2c | 996.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…7afabacked Sebastian Baez | 69c | 995.62$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc661…610abacked Sebastian Baez | 61c | 976.6$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.73 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 958$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.6 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23de…f320backed Sebastian Baez | 68c | 930.4$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…c6abbacked Sebastian Baez | 33c | 930.25$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.61 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 883.26$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.45 | 887 | 49.8%442 W · 445 L | -22.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 872.73$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.37 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Vilius Gaubas | 31c | 853.32$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.79 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 62c | 846.62$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.71 | 392 | 38.8%152 W · 240 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sebastian Baez | 22c | 802.74$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.31 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sebastian Baez | 5c | 724.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9d…8715backed Sebastian Baez | 54c | 685.74$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.56 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 683.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.04 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…a3bebacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 682.28$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.42 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 638.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.85 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Baez | 35c | 631.38$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.98 | 4,411 | 51.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L | +137.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Sebastian Baez | 68c | 622.53$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 2,144 | 54.2%1,162 W · 982 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 599.5$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.66 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Sebastian Baez | 67c | 585.19$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 824 | 60.6%499 W · 325 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 562.94$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.06 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 550.93$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.18 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc867…8b00backed Sebastian Baez | 48c | 508.27$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.75 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.0wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…b906backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 499.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,026 | 46.8%480 W · 546 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 499.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.99 | 1,066 | 52.4%559 W · 507 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Sebastian Baez | 61c | 478.53$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.91 | 157 | 52.2%82 W · 75 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Vilius Gaubas | 41c | 460.31$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 435 | 47.4%206 W · 229 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Sebastian Baez | 29c | 460$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.6 | 584 | 38.2%223 W · 361 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 451.44$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.11 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 72c | 424.69$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.78 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Sebastian Baez | 58c | 420.17$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.7 | 243 | 40.3%98 W · 145 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Vilius Gaubas | 32c | 420.15$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.42 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Sebastian Baez | 70c | 416$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.2 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Vilius Gaubas | 70c | 399.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.53 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Sebastian Baez | 22c | 395.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 391.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.99 | 401 | 36.4%146 W · 255 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Vilius Gaubas | 52c | 374.18$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.36 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Vilius Gaubas | 28c | 371.33$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.2 | 362 | 44.8%162 W · 200 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…d3c2backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 355.58$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.35 | 465 | 62.6%291 W · 174 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Sebastian Baez | 16c | 350.17$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vilius Gaubas | 29c | 343.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.41 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Sebastian Baez | 14c | 334.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.77 | 279 | 35.8%100 W · 179 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddaa…e514backed Sebastian Baez | 33c | 333.78$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Sebastian Baez | 58c | 329.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Sebastian Baez | 25c | 310.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Baez | 69c | 308.39$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.07 | 1,920 | 55.4%1,064 W · 856 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbb…c0fdbacked Sebastian Baez | 73c | 301.88$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Sebastian Baez | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Vilius Gaubas | 30c | 281.6$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa65…1021backed Sebastian Baez | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 58cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Sebastian Baez | 71c | 276.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.52 | 590 | 65.4%386 W · 204 L | -16.3wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked Sebastian Baez | 72c | 273.11$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.64 | 145 | 64.1%93 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid Open: Vilius Gaubas vs Sebastian Baezthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gaubas vs BaezGaubas won
- Set Handicap: Baez (-1.5) vs Gaubas (+1.5)Gaubas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.