MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65cac92d1bcae269ff58e36fd3e9c29b9305b67108f189c4ec5fdb9846d67e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof NC Dinos, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 5c | 3,952$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed NC Dinos | 11c | 1,127$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2f…bda7backed NC Dinos | 40c | 803.79$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.39 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked NC Dinos | 51c | 421.92$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.18 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked NC Dinos | 39c | 387.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.24 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 8c | 351.4$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NC Dinos | 15c | 333.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 308$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.08 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 60c | 265.47$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.32 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NC Dinos | 4c | 263.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…479fbacked NC Dinos | 45c | 216.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe22a…cb75backed NC Dinos | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 269 | 48.7%131 W · 138 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 183.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.38 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 160.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked NC Dinos | 46c | 159.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NC Dinos | 13c | 148.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 62c | 140.89$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 53c | 127.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed NC Dinos | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed NC Dinos | 51c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed NC Dinos | 48c | 99.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 99.95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…1e80backed NC Dinos | 49c | 80.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 45c | 76.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Lotte Giants | 64c | 70$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Lotte Giants | 50c | 60.93$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.46 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 49c | 55.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf8…4d13backed Lotte Giants | 55c | 52.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa6…9361backed NC Dinos | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 49.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Lotte Giants | 54c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5db…b42dbacked NC Dinos | 33c | 48.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6560…b6ddbacked Lotte Giants | 52c | 36.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed NC Dinos | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…9101backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +142%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lotte Giants | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed NC Dinos | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed Lotte Giants | 78c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.